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The Home of Evolutioneers

Universe Spirit Blogs

  • Eco Theology and Collapse 101

    Our good friend Michael Dowd has created a unique new eco-spirituality video illuminating the global predicament and its threat to the future.

    Are you ready for a cutting-edge eco-spirituality video that will significantly change your perspective? 

    Can you imagine your perspective moving in a direction that would better match the challenges of our current reality and the soon-arriving future? 

    If you can, watch this spellbinding eco-spirituality video and prepare to get your socks knocked off!

    This is an 85-minute science-based, religious naturalist video. Its alternate subtitle is "Eco-Theology and Collapse 101. (This longish eco-spirituality video is broken down into multiple shorter sections with breaks.)

    It is the most complete video Michael Dowd has created to date that outlines the following: 

    A. Why our name and relationship to our living (biophysical) creator, sustainer, and end is an existential (life or death) issue. 

    B. The nature of our global predicament (ecological overshoot, abrupt climate mayhem, resource depletion, biospheric collapse, etc.). 

    C. The social, historical, ecological, technological, and religious factors that have caused dozens of previous civilizations to collapse and how they are doing the same today, just faster. 

    D. The fundamental differences between genuinely sustainable, pro-future cultures and utterly unsustainable, anti-future civilizations. 

    E. What is possible, impossible, and both inspiring and soul-nourishing going forward. 

    Video Viewing Suggestion: This is a VERY visual presentation, and Michael encourages you to watch, rather than merely listen, and to do so at normal speed and without multi-tasking. I also encourage viewers to take a few minutes to pause between the main sections.

    After you see this video and have time to recover a bit from its stunning effect, we strongly recommend that you immediately begin the Job One for Humanity Climate and Global Crises Resilience Plan.

    To get to this genuinely illuminating and essential eco-spirituality video for this challenging moment in time on YouTube, click here

     

    If you like the video above as much as we did, we also recommend his other new video that Provides much-needed emotional support for climate anxiety and environmental dread. Click here to view this modern un-denominational Serenity Prayer.

  • Will Greta Thunberg and other activists get a formal apology from the COP26 climate conference and the IPCC?

    In addition to Greta Thunberg saying not to expect much from the Glasgow COP26 climate conference, there is a massive opportunity for her leadership to...

    Greta Thunberg is now at the COP 26 conference. A rare opportunity for her leadership lies in the opportunity to destroy commonly help public illusions and delusions about global warming, which are impeding activist movements working to fix global warming. 

    By directly addressing these heavily promoted illusions and delusions and asking for an apology, Greta will be able to re-frame the future of global warming public dialog and move this critical dialog to where it needs to go. A key reason for asking for the apology below is that to see any uncomfortable reality for what actually it is and begin to fix it, one must strip away any illusions and delusions hiding its true nature

    Greta can start the critical process of illusion and delusion stripping simply by demanding that COP 26 and the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) issue the following formal apology. This apology would not only be for Greta and the protesters outside of COP26l. It also would be for all the climate activists and organizations that have been trying for 50 years to break through the illusions, delusions, and false and misleading information about global warming.

    The apology:

    We, the IPCC and the COP26 and previous climate conference attendeesformally apologize to generations X, Y, and Z, all older world citizens, and the most at-risk underdeveloped nations for:

    a. failing to get the world's governments to declare a national and international global warming state of emergency. (This would facilitate those governments allocating all necessary personnel and resources to ensure the correct actions needed to get them close to their correct 2025 national fossil fuel reduction targets.

    b. not continuously telling the leaders of the world's governments and getting them to understand that if we do not get close to the correct 2025 global fossil reduction targets, much (51% or more) of humanity will be dead by mid-century. We also should have made it painfully clear that most of these global warming-related deaths will occur within the poor and undeveloped countries between the 40th parallel north and the 4Oth parallel south.

    In the image below, the red line marks the 40th parallel north. The yellow line marks the 40th parallel south.

     

     

    We have repeatedly hidden these facts and failed to make the world and the world's politicians understand that escalating global warming is an imminent extinction threat. It will not be much different in total human deaths, suffering, and many other consequences than if a planet killer asteroid hit the earth about mid-century. (Imagine what happened in the Hollywood movies Deep Impact or Greenland). 

    (To learn why it is critical to get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, please go to this page which explains the four extinction-triggering climate tipping points which we will rapidly cross if we do not get close to reaching the 2025 targets.)

    c. not continuously telling the leaders of the world's governments that if we do not get close to the correct 2025 global fossil reduction targets, there also is a high probability humanity will suffer near-total extinctionbeginning by about 2070. (To learn about how this near-total global warming extinction process will occur, please see the primary and secondary warming-related consequences.)

    d. failing to educate and prepare the world's citizens for the many severe and unavoidable consequences of our 50 years of climate inaction or ineffective action. We must now endure painful sacrifice and immense suffering as we radically cut global fossil fuel use to come close to the 2025 targets to save a liveable future for some of humanity and their children.

    e. repeatedly failing to state the correct 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets while simultaneously, making the public falsely believe in the illusion that if we simply reached net-zero emissions by 2040, 2050, or some other date far beyond 2025, humanity would be safe from extinction.

    f. manipulating and "cooking" the global fossil fuel reduction target calculations by including inappropriate compensatory calculations involving unproven carbon capture technologies. We knew that carbon capture was not proven at scale, was not even remotely economically possible, or tested for possible even worse side effects. Yet, we still included carbon capture compensatory calculations for our global fossil fuel reduction targets even though we knew carbon capture would not be a viable solution in time to save us from the worst extinction level consequences of global warming. This carbon capture scheme was another one of the many geoengineering type illusions we have promoted to help create a false sense of progress, future safety, and that some new technology breakthrough will save us at the last minute from extinction.

    g. promoting carbon capture schemes to achieve net-zero emissions like Cap-and-Trade, which also create an illusion of safety and will not work in time to save us from global warming's worst consequences! We have failed to adequately disclose to the public that almost all natural, technical, and economic carbon capture schemes are difficult to get up to scale up, verify, or enforce, and they are far too easy to cheat on. 

    h. failing to repeatedly state that the most direct and honest way to make the critically needed global fossil fuel reductions to the required levels in time to save us, is, to simply and immediately drastically reduce fossil fuel use! This now requires enforcing national targets to come close to the correct 2025 global fossil reduction target levels.

    i. repeatedly failing to push the world's governments to agree to enforce these 2025 targets and agree that if they fail to enforce their national targets, they acknowledge they will be punished economically by the world community on an escalating basis until they do meet their agreed-to national fossil fuel reduction targets. 

    j. making world citizens believe that we were making progress in reducing global fossil fuel use when it was actually getting worse, much worse!

    k. wasting decades of legitimate scientific warnings when global fossil fuel reductions could still have been gradual and far more manageable.

    l. hiding the true urgency and severity of the current global warming extinction emergency. 

    m. unfairly creating recommendations, fossil fuel reduction targets, and policies that favor the wealthiest nations over the poorer nations and act to ignore or minimize climate justice concerns and principles. And finally,

    n. being corrupted and co-opted by the fossil fuel industry to invisibly serve its profit-maintenance goals rather than the wellbeing of all current world citizens, all nations, and future generations.

    The apology above also should be presented to the world as a critical part of COP26's final written closing statement.

    In order to view all of the detailed documentation on why the above apology is congruent with the current climate science please see this article.

    In Conclusion

    Because of all of the above issues described in the apology, it is now time for all of us to become activist disruptors! The necessity for disruption is obligatory when the scale of damage is so large and severe that one must disrupt the activities causing the genuine threat once they are understood. For example, if there were an understood real and probable threat that would cause the imminent extinction of humanity or destroy the biological or climate systems upon which humanity depends for its survival, one would be obligated to disrupt any organization, its policies, or actions causing or adding to that threat. 

    You now understand a little more about why the global warming extinction emergency or anything that speeds it up, or any illusions that prevent us from seeing it honestly to resolve it, will require our continual creative disruption. (To learn more about the policy of necessary or obligatory disruption including what to do and ethically how to do it, click here.)

    What else you can do about the accelerating time-limited global warming nightmare!

    We are in a battle for the survival of humanity. We have both an ethical and moral duty to call out ALL offenders and act! Unfortunately, we also have squandered away five decades of inaction when the needed changes could have been gradual and more manageable. 

    Therefore, there is no more time to wait or remain inactive. To work our way out of this rapidly accelerating global warming extinction nightmare, we must act immediately. Here is a list of ethical, disruptive, and necessary actions to begin to do your critical part before it is too late! 

    a. Share this post everywhere you think it should go! Please help us get thousands of copies of this blog post flying all over the Internet, reaching every place and person where it should be.

    b. Sign the global warming extinction emergency petition for our politicians. It is fast and easy. Click here to sign it.

    c. We need your help with forwarding emails and making calls to get this COP26 blog post apology information to everywhere it needs to go. Personalized calls and emails are always more effective than non-personalized calls and emails. If you are not calling or emailing this information to the people mentioned on the list below, and you want to print it and snail mail it, be sure to include the original post link here ( https://www.joboneforhumanity.org/greta_thunberg_at_cop26 ). 

    Here is how to make phone calls to your politicians:

    1. If you are a US citizen, find your congressperson here. If you are not a US citizen, you will need to look up the phone number of your political representatives.

    2. If you are a US citizen, call the US Capitol switchboard (202) 224-3121 to leave your representative a message.  

    3. Then use this or your script: "Hi my name is ___, and I'm calling from ____. I do not support our government using the current United Nations global fossil fuel reduction targets. They are incorrect and far too small! These fossil fuel reduction targets will result in the extinction of much of humanity by mid-century. 

    I am counting on you to use your influence to get our nation to use the correct 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. We cannot continue using the net-zero by 2050, 2040, or even the 2030 currently promoted targets, or we will fail and many of us will die."

    If you are emailing to people use the information and lists below: 

    i. Email this post to politicians worldwide, especially before the COP26 International climate change conference. Particularly email US politicians and their support staff. Please forward it to US politicians like John Kerry (the Climate Czar,) Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Gavin Newsom, and other members of the US progressive Squad. (The US politicians just let one senator's vote gut much of the effectiveness of the changes they wanted to bring to cut emissions at COP26.) Please also send this post to any other global politicians you think should see it as well.

    ii. Email this post to all of the national delegates, officials, and especially the corporate sponsors of COP26. Maybe some of them will finally stand up against manipulating their climate research work or using their names to continue to protect the profits of oil-producing nations and fossil fuel-related industries. In general, corporate sponsors do not normally want to be associated with failures, unless they are somehow secretly profiting from those failures. 

    Be certain to get this post to the delegations from those mostly underdeveloped nations who are suffering the most from global warming and also have done the least to create it. Maybe collectively, these endangered nations can act to stop the ongoing climate conference fossil fuel reduction target lies.

    iii. Email this post to ecological and global warming educational groups, such as 350.org, Climate Central, Climate Mobilization, Climate Emergency Fund, Sunrise Movement, Sierra Club, World Wildlife Fund, Green Peace, etc. Please send it to any other regional or local environmental and global warming educational groups you think should see it as well.

    iv. Send this article to local regional or national media in your area where you think there might be a news person who is going to do the deep research and analysis and not just accept what is being fed to them by the fossil fuel industry lobbyists, the IPCC, and COP26 attendees. 

    We also strongly encourage you to publically call out and shame any media that does lazy research or promotes fossil fuel industry-shilled or false climate stories. But, please never shame individuals, only the organizations or institutions in which they work! The peaceful public shaming of corporations or organizations is a long-accepted and legitimate social protest action and necessary disruption strategy.

    d. Start to accept the terrible reality of our current global warming extinction emergency. This new reality means that you and I will need to sacrifice and endure the loss of many of our fossil fuel-derived comforts to get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. (For more on what our governments and we need to do to reach the 2025 reduction targets, click here. Please note that individual actions alone will not reverse the global warming extinction emergency at this late stage, only these government-enforced actions will do that.)

    e. Don't forget to begin your personal or business resilience plans because the worst consequences of global warming are no longer avoidable due to our five decades of ineffective action or inaction. This resilience plan contains critical information for living within the Earth's carrying capacity, preparing for what is coming, and adapting your lifestyle and livelihood to become a part of the energy reduction solutions needed for this emergency. Remember, no government, corporation, or NGO will ever be able to keep up with ever-escalating damages and costs of the consequences of global warming. 

    Feel free to translate and quote this post as needed!

    Here are three things to start talking about with your friends:

    1. Demand a national carbon Fee and Dividend program, which would immediately price toxic fossil fuel carbon and methane pollution, hopefully at about $150 a ton. (For a complete description of a fair Fee and Dividend program that would not punish the poor, please click here and Scan down the page for the Fee and Dividend section.)

    2. Demand the immediate termination of all fossil fuel industry-related government or taxpayer subsidies. (Currently about 6 trillion dollars a year globally.)

    3. Demand that the fossil fuel industry and its executives be held legally and financially responsible for the 10 million deaths a year they cause through toxic carbon and methane pollution of our atmosphere and all of the related other damages they are doing to our homes, cities, and the environment. 

    References

    The following links will assist curious individuals in getting up to speed on the current global warming analysis.

    Reference Topic 1: Why you can't believe the current IPCC issued global fossil fuel reduction targets or their consequence predictions and timetables:

    Click here to see precisely how the IPCC "cooked the books" and grossly skewed the current IPCC global fossil fuel reduction calculations by including unproven and non-existent "carbon sucking unicorn" technology into their projections. 

    Click here to understand the long-term history of the IPCC underestimating the consequences, timeframes, and the needed global fossil fuel reduction targets by as much as 20-40% or more.

    Click here to see the eleven key climate change tipping points that have been mostly excluded from the IPCC calculations on how much fossil fuel use we must reduce each year globally. 

    Click here to see the REAL 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and why we must get close to a 75% reduction in total global fossil fuel use (oil, natural gas, coal, etc.) by 2025, not the far, far less net-zero emission levels they have pledged by 2050 or 2040! (In the technical notes at the bottom of the 2025 fossil fuel reduction specification page, you will see each calculation and compensation for the various factors that make up the required correct global fossil fuel reduction numbers.)

    To see the many mass mobilization actions our governments must now take to get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and save humanity from near-total extinction, click here.

    Reference Topic 2: How can the probability (or even the possibility) of a soon-arriving near-total human extinction be accurate? 

    Click here to see a detailed "big picture" catastrophic meltdown of our global warming consequences and tipping points. Their interactions with our other 11 major global crises will produce starvation and extinction for much of humanity by mid-century and near-total extinction beginning as soon as 2070.

    Click here to see the four major global warming extinction-evoking tipping points and how close we are to crossing them. 

    Reference Topic 3: What governments must do

    It is time to also call for global warming legal accountability, the immediate termination of all global fossil fuel subsidies, and placing a worldwide price for all corporations on their carbon, methane, and other greenhouse gas emissions and pollution. 

    Click here to learn more about the carbon Fee and Dividend pricing and other actions our governments and corporations must immediately take to reach the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets.

    Reference Topic 4: The deep causes of this whole mess

    To understand the most profound reasons behind our current global warming emergency and our 11 other most dangerous global crises, please get the book Overshoot. In it, you can learn about the concept of the Earth's carrying capacity (the land and sea acreage available and needed for a given population's needs.) 

    Reference Topic 5: Miscellaneous 

    Click here and read our Job One for Humanity policy on the necessary or obligatory disruption of all false or dangerous global warming or environmental actions or ideas.

    Please continue to educate yourself about these life-critical climate issues by exploring the documentation and analysis found on this website.

     

    This article has been created in our humble opinion,

    by

    The Global Warming Research Team of the Job One for Humanity Non-profit Organization

     

    PS If we get the global warming extinction emergency under control in time, click here to see the many surprising benefits we can create in a Great Global Rebirth. If you can, we also ask that you support the research and candid climate analysis done by making a tax-deductible donation to the Job One for Humanity nonprofit organization. 

  • Why the Glasgow Global Climate Conference (COP26) this October 31 Should be Panned & Ignored by You & Global Media

    There are 3 dangerous reasons and many lesser reasons everyone should vehemently pan then ignore the tragic theatrical farce called the COP26 climate change conference. 

    (This article has had many recent additions since published due to the enormous amount of positive feedback we have received from individuals and climate activists worldwide. It covers a huge problem with many waving tentacles.)

    Introduction

    In addition to Greta Thunberg the world-renown climate activist who recently said not to expect much from COP26 (photo below), climate researchers, climate activists, and other climate savvy environmental groups are also telling their audiences to expect little to nothing of actual value or action from the COP26 global climate conference in Glasgow, Scotland October 31-November 12th. 

    Below you will find the three big reasons why the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and its 25 previous global climate conferences have fallen into public disrepute. You will discover the many illusions and delusions that surround these two entities that are dangerous to the future of humanity.  

     

     

    In this article, you also will discover why the above climate conference and IPCC characterizations are fair and accurate, but first, we have to separate the innocent from the guilty. 

    When talking about the IPCC and its scores of climate conferences, we are not talking about the hundreds of honorable climate scientists who volunteer their time and submit their climate studies to the IPCC for evaluation or these conferences. Instead, we are talking about the IPCC and COP26 climate administrators and organizers.

    We are not saying that the IPCC and its 25 previous climate conferences have not done some good over their decades of existence. Of course, they have, but the harms they are doing now and the illusions they are perpetuating are so significant and critical to our future survival, we are obligated to disclose them for the well-being of all humanity. 

    In this article, you will learn how these administrators and organizers take climate research from volunteer scientists and politicize and twist its analysis in ways that definitely do not serve the overall wellbeing of the world's citizens or the many underdeveloped nations of the world. At the end of this article, you will also find a call to action for what you can do to help fix what you will find below. 

    For a quick overview of the article here are its sections:

    1. The three big reasons the COP26 climate conference should be panned then ignored by you and the world's media,

    2. The BIG takeaways from reviewing decades of well-documented climate conference and IPCC results,

    3. An additional critical fourth reason the many IPCC global climate conferences and climate agreements have not reduced global fossil fuel emissions but have only worsened them, the net-zero carbon neutral illusion and smokescreen

    4. Are the IPCC and its climate conferences trying to help us by hiding a lost cause from us?

    5. What you won't be hearing from the COP26 conference final reports,

    6. What you most likely will be hearing from the COP26 conference final reports,

    7. What you most likely will be hearing from the global media about COP26,

    8. Should the setting of global fossil-fuel reduction targets and predicting the timetables of global warming consequences now be removed from the IPCC and its climate conferences?

    9.  Concluding and summarizing thoughts,

    10. What you can do about this nightmare.

    The three big reasons COP26 should be panned then ignored by you and the world's media

    Reason One: The IPCC, COP26, and the 25 previous climate conferences are doing the same failed actions over and over again and expecting a different result. 

    Doing the same thing over and over then expecting a different result is the textbook definition of insanity! Yet, if you look at the IPCC's climate conference result graphs below, you will see this collective insanity in all its haunting splendor.

    The first graph shows atmospheric carbon (CO2) in parts per million (the jagged red line below.) Atmospheric carbon is one of the single best measurements for how we are doing in reducing global fossil fuel use. (Atmospheric carbon is measured annually in atmospheric parts per million [ppm] at Mauna Loa, Hawaii.) 

    As you can see below, atmospheric carbon is not slowing down or stopping. Instead, it is accelerating at an even faster rate as the steepness of the jagged red line increases. The carbon graph below embarrassingly shows the net result of fifty years of climate warnings, thirty-three climate conferences, and half a dozen international agreements to reduce the global warming causing carbon in the atmosphere! 

     

     

    But there is more.

    The next graph below includes the other atmospheric greenhouse gasses like methane and nitrous dioxide as well as carbon. The orange line shows all of the greenhouse gases in what is called the CO2 equivalent (also in parts per million.) 

    The blue line in the graph below shows the total amount of carbon still going up into our atmosphere in gigatons. A gigaton is vastly more than a normal ton! (One gigaton of carbon in the atmosphere is equal to 109 tonnes of carbon which written out is 1,000,000,000 tons of carbon or 1012 kg.) Take a moment and try to get your mind around the insane amount of new carbon we are still putting into our atmosphere each year! 

    Under the blue line are listed various climate conferences and our earliest warnings that global warming was a real extinction threat.

    Even beyond the massive environmental damage caused by global warming consequences, with this much carbon going into the atmosphere, there is little wonder why ten million individuals are dying every year from the diseases and other health effects of toxic air pollution caused by burning fossil fuels and the immense amounts of carbon, methane, and other greenhouse gasses we are adding to our atmosphere.

    The next graph also shows the direct results of all of the climate conferences. If you look closely at the light gray dotted lines (below) rising from left to right, you will see that the average annual additional parts per million increases for atmospheric carbon is now growing exponentially. It should be going down! 

     

     

    What is illuminated in the light five gray lines on the graph above is critical additional proof of just how bad the IPCC and its scores of climate conferences are doing in lowering global fossil fuel use. In the 1960s, you can see we were adding .9 more carbon ppm per year. In the 1970s, we were adding 1.3 more carbon ppm per year. In the 1980s and 1990s, we were adding 1.5 more carbon ppm per year. In the 2000s, we were adding 2.0 more carbon ppm per year. And in the 2010s, we were adding 2.4 more carbon ppm per year. Although not in the graph below, in the 2020s, we are adding about 3.0 more carbon ppm per year and we are currently at about the carbon 420 ppm level.

    As you can see, despite all the IPPC's actions and climate conferences (listed above the red line), the amount of additional carbon ppm going into the atmosphere on an annual basis has tripled and risen exponentially since the 1970s. This unconscionable triple acceleration of more and more carbon being released each year is now pushing us into out-of-control climate change and a new and extreme future climate.

    Unfortunately, there is still more. The utter failure of the IPCC and its two dozen-plus climate conferences is further illuminated by the atmospheric methane CH4 graph below. When viewing this methane graph, keep in mind that atmospheric methane is about 80 times more effective than atmospheric carbon in increasing global warming. (The atmospheric methane graph below is in parts per billion [ppb].) 

     

     

    One odd thing to keep in mind about methane is that the fossil fuel lobby has successfully prevented the US government from measuring or tracking atmospheric methane in the US. Can you imagine why the fossil fuel industry does not want you to know how much atmospheric methane they release?

    Looking at all four graphs and their unique measurements above does clearly show the success or failure of previous climate conferences, climate agreements, and the IPCC. As you have discovered, not only are carbon, methane, and other greenhouse gases not slowing down or stopping, they are increasing. Worse yet, most of them are not growing gradually; they have begun to increase exponentially!

    This begs a key question to be resolved. How could one explain such continuous failure or incompetence over decades unless there are other possible hidden factors at work? 

    Reason Two: The IPCC and its climate conference's global fossil fuel reduction targets have been politicized for the benefit of the 28 trillion dollars a year oil-producing nations and fossil fuel-related industries

    There are several easy-to-understand examples of how the fossil fuel producers and fossil fuel industries might have compromised the IPCC and the climate conference results. The first example is how the IPCC's global fossil fuel reduction target calculations were cleverly manipulated to allow the fossil fuel industry to keep selling even more of its toxic product. 

    Example One: The "cooking of the fossil fuel reduction books" was done by the administrators and bureaucrats of the IPCC. Their current global fossil fuel reduction calculations make massive allowances for the existence of carbon-sucking unicorns (aka carbon capture technology), which by their estimates, would not even be effective until about 2050, if ever! 

    This 2050 "miracle" new technology was supposed to quickly suck hundreds of gigatons of carbon out of the atmosphere and save us from extinction at the very last minute. Yet, when they did the calculations to create the current global fossil fuel reduction targets for the years leading up to 2050, they already knew that no carbon capture and removal technology had yet to be proven:

    a. at anything even close to the enormous scale that would be needed to remove hundreds of gigatons of atmospheric carbon to save us in time,

    b. at any tolerable economic efficiency to do anything even close to removing the hundreds of gigatons of atmospheric carbon at the last minute to save us from extinction, and

    c. not to have even worse unintended side effects on the climate and the world. (This unproven technology could have side effects that could cause severe, unpredictable droughts or other climate catastrophes in many parts of the world. Moreover, nations starving and suffering from these unforeseen side effects could respond with a  conventional attack or a nuclear counterattack creating WWIII.)

    There are many other details to the magical carbon-sucking unicorn story, which further removes legitimacy from the IPCC's current global warming fossil fuel reduction targets. (All of the verification and documentation for the magical carbon-sucking unicorn story can be found here.)

    Example Two: Because of its politicization, the IPCC and its conferences also grossly underestimate the consequences and timelines of global warming so much that it allows them to further lower the real global fossil fuel reduction targets that are needed. This politicization and underestimation issue has gone on for decades and is well documented on this page. But, before you read the IPCC underestimation documentation page, here is a little teaser that describes the bureaucratic research, analysis, and summary approval process at the IPCC that should outline this problem.

    What surprises many individuals is that the IPCC itself does not do original global warming research. Instead, working as unpaid volunteers, thousands of scientists from around the globe sift through the most current scientific literature on global warming and the climate. After completing this review, these unpaid scientists identify trends, write a draft report, and submit it to the IPCC.

    Next, the IPCC reviews the submitted research from these scientists. This review typically takes five to seven years to complete. Then, in a tediously slow and bureaucratic process, the IPCC creates comprehensive reports and assessments, including global warming prediction scenarios. Then, in the near to last step, other scientists take the assembled draft again and review and revise it as needed.

    Finally, a summary for national politicians and policymakers is written. This additional review condenses the science even further. This new and final public summary report is then subjected to a line-by-line review and possible revision by non-scientist national representatives from more than 100 world governments. These non-scientist national representatives must each approve the final summary document before it is signed and presented to the public.

    Example Three: The IPCC and its climate conferences have repeatedly failed to include calculations and allowances for few if any of the hundreds of essential climate system and subsystem tipping points. This absence is dangerous because a crossed climate tipping point is usually followed by a sudden and drastic change in that area or a complete area collapse. Furthermore, a crossed tipping point in one area of the climate system also often triggers crossing more tipping points in other areas of our intimately connected climate system. Thus, one crossed climate tipping point in the right place can create a tipping point feedback loop of more and more tipping points being crossed.

    Once a climate tipping point is crossed, it is far more time-consuming and difficult for that area to recover and re-establish its original condition. Yet, in their predictions, it seems the IPCC and its climate conferences want you to believe that either climate tipping points do not exist or that we will not cross them. This is because they rarely, if ever, appear as a part of their global warming scenario calculations. (For more information about the climates 11 major tipping points and how these tipping points are already unfolding, click here.)

    A big takeaway here is that because of the three examples above, the IPCC and its climate conference's current global fossil fuel reduction targets are so underestimated and corrupted that they are not only useless, they are dangerous to use! Moreover, if we use these underestimated targets, much of humanity will be dead by 2050, and the rest of us will go extinct over the following decades. (If you are interested, the correct 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets that can save humanity from extinction are found on this page.)

    At some point, we still recommend reading the detailed IPCC history of underestimation, which is on this page. We also strongly recommend you watch this video by Peter Carter. It covers more about the sad history of the IPCC, its many conferences, and its continuous global fossil fuel reduction failures.

    Reason Three: The IPCC and its climate conferences operate under the irrational and impossible to achieve principle that "society's emergency transformation away from fossil fuel energy generation to green energy generation must not ever hurt national or global economies"

    The IPCC and its climate conferences appear to always forward solutions that "will not or must not" harm the economies of the most powerful UN members. But, this principle that transforming fossil fuel energy generation to green energy generation must not hurt the world's economies is an incorrect and insane handicap that cripples legitimate and effective solutions.

    There are several reasons for this economic principle being wrong in the case of our extinction emergency

    Reason One: We have wasted 50 years of global warming extinction warnings when we could have made gradual fossil fuel use reductions that could have allowed a more gradual transfer to green energy generation with minimal economic damage. 

    That time has long passed! Our current extinction danger demands that neither the profits of a few corporations nor the wellbeing of any economy has any true priority over the survival-critical need to immediately avert a soon-arriving mass extinction. 

    Reason Two: The most important economic factor that we should be facing concerning moving from fossil fuel energy generation to green energy generation is that a mass human die-off will unfold until much of humanity is dead by mid-century. This is because if we do not fix this extinction emergency by getting close to the correct 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, the global economy will most certainly be economically ruined far beyond any crash or disaster that has ever occurred in history. 

    There will be massive job loss beyond anything ever imagined simply because so much of humanity will be dead. The real estate, stock, and commodity markets will also crash for similar reasons, lack of living customers, and social chaos.

    Reason Three: If your nation was under attack and its very survival was a stake, your military generals would naturally want to launch an immediate defense and counter-attack. In this case, no one would ever tell them that they could do that because it would hurt the national economy. 

    This example is no different from the global warming extinction emergency. All of humanity is now under global warming attack. 

    All of humanity's survival is at stake if we do not act immediately to get close to the 2025 targets. Therefore, no sane or financially uncompromised individual (or group) has any legitimate right to demand that "the only way we can take the critical actions to survive (our global warming defenses and counter-attack) is to make sure that these actions do not harm or affect the economy. 

    In other words, the correct economic principle must now be "we must fix the global warming extinction emergency because of its imminent extinction threat, even if it harms economies temporarily! If we do not follow this critical humanity-saving new economic principle, the global economy will eventually and definitely crash, taking all nations with it and, our global warming future will go wildly out of our control.

    The BIG takeaways from reviewing the above decades of well-documented climate conference and IPCC results

    There are several key takeaways from the information above:

    1. If you have thought about the above information, you probably wonder how the intentions, will, and wellbeing of billions of people worldwide could be so ignored and thwarted decade after decade by the IPCC and its scores of conferences? Billions of people want safe air to breathe and a future free of the unthinkable destruction of accelerating global warming consequences.

    To thwart the intentions of billions of individuals for a safe future and health over a five-decade period would take nothing less than an extraordinary, continuous, and even stronger counter intention. We at Job One for Humanity believe the evidence points to the hidden hand of fossil fuel-producing nations and the fossil fuel-related industries. (This is not unreasonable because the fossil fuel industry wields the financial power of 1/3 of the world's total gross domestic product [GDP.]) 

    What you see in the above graphs is not mere incompetence or honest mistakes. You see the decades-long hidden corruption and co-opting of the IPCC and its climate conferences by fossil fuel interests and their financial resources. 

    To put this statement into scale and a pausable perspective, all one has to do is recall that in the US, the far smaller cigarette industry thwarted almost all regulation and hazardous product warmings through false research studies, lobbyists, and large donations to favorably politicians, etc. for 50 years! 

    2. The popular media worldwide has also played an essential part in promoting and maintaining this decades-long charade of false hope and underestimated global warming reduction targets. This is partly because in many cases, the big media companies are wholly or partially owned by the fossil fuel-related industries. With the fossil fuel industries having such a large financial influence over the major media companies, it is easy to understand why the media has not exposed this tragic and ongoing dangerous fraud. And,

    3. An old saying is that, if it looks like a duck, walks like a duck, and quacks like a duck, it's a duck! The same could be said for the IPCC and its scores of climate conferences. If it looks like it's protecting the fossil fuel industry profits and has in fact protected fossil fuel earnings with bogus reduction targets, it has been corrupted by the fossil fuel industry.

    An additional critical fourth reason the many IPCC global climate conferences and climate agreements have not reduced global fossil fuel emissions but have only worsened them, the net-zero, carbon-neutral illusion and smokescreen

    Honest, independent, and non-politicized climate researchers have been trying to tell the world for over 50 years humanity is facing extinction. These researchers have been begging us to begin immediate global fossil fuel use reductions to come as close as possible to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets to survive the extinction threat. 

    The 2025 global reduction targets are not anything like the fossil fuel industry-sponsored national net-zero carbon neutral targets, which nations are saying they will reach by 2070, 2060, 2050, 2040, or even 2030! For instance, India has pledged it will be net-zero by 2070, and China promised it will be net-zero by 2060. With much theatrical media coverage, Saudi Arabia also announced it will become net-zero emission by 2060. (Including the US at net zero by 2050, India and China make up the world's three largest carbon emitters.)

    But, there are big secrets concerning the net-zero carbon-neutral pledges. They, too, are feel-good illusions that do not produce anything even close to what is being promised. 

    These net-zero pledges are based predominantly on carbon offsetting. A carbon offset is supposed to reduce global carbon dioxide emissions or other greenhouse gases by compensating with emissions produced elsewhere. Unfortunately, carbon offsets are very difficult to verify, have considerable incentives for fraud, and are easy to fake by both purchasers and the suppliers of such carbon offsets. Additionally, carbon offsets have either no penalties or weak penalties for fraud. 

    James Hansen, the first climate scientist who warned us unchecked global warming would lead to our extinction, has described carbon offsets as "modern-day indulgences, sold to an increasingly carbon-conscious public to absolve their climate sins." Carbon offsets may also be interpreted as greenwashing. This is especially true in the case of most corporate commitments, which do not include actionable goals and schedules that implicate that their 'net-zero' emission goals are anything more than good publicity.

    Theoretically, carbon offsets were meant to support projects that reduce the emission of greenhouse gases in the short or long term. A common offset project type is renewable energy, such as wind farms, biomass energy, biogas digesters, or hydroelectric dams. Other offsets include:

    • Energy efficiency projects like efficient cookstoves.
    • The destruction of industrial pollutants or agricultural byproducts.
    • The destruction of landfill methane.
    • Forestry projects.

    But, that is not what is really happening. Instead, carbon offsets have become another clever way for nations to make fabulous public net-zero pledges, which facilitate hiding their lack of actual fossil fuel reduction from their citizens and the world. 

    In addition to the fraud-friendly carbon offset issue, most net-zero carbon neutral pledges are back-end loaded, meaning most of the cuts are to come well after 2025. (Our last chance fossil fuel reduction target for keeping global warming under our control.) 

    Most of these "emperors' new clothes" pledges also assume steady major technological advances in currently non-existent or unproven technologies or outright revolutionary tech breakthroughs that will somehow reach the required levels of development and scale to save us at the last moment. These net-zero carbon-neutral pledges are just another form of illusion keeping us from making the real and hard choices. These pledges also specifically exclude all fossil fuel exports from figuring into the national accounting and calculations for the net-zero pledge goals. As you can see, net-zero carbon-neutral pledges have more loopholes than a swiss cheese has holes. 

    Unfortunately, there is yet more to the net-zero carbon neutral illusion:

    a. Tracing the history of illusions in climate policy from 1988 to 2021, climate scientists James Dyke, Robert Watson, and Wolfgang Knorr "[arrive] at the painful realization that the idea of net-zero has licensed a recklessly cavalier "burn now, pay later" approach which has seen carbon emissions continue to soar!

    b. In his 16-page report, Dangerous Distractions, economist Marc Lee states that "'Net-zero" has the potential to be a dangerous distraction that reduces the political pressure to achieve actual emission reduction." "A net-zero target means less incentive to get to 'real zero' emissions from fossil fuels, an escape hatch that perpetuates business as usual and delays more meaningful climate action." 

    c. Current net-zero policies will not keep warming within the UN's 1.5°C temperature rise target because they were never intended to. They were and still are driven by a need to protect business as usual, not the climate. If we want to keep people safe, then large and sustained cuts to carbon emissions need to happen now. The time for wishful thinking is over.

    d. In March 2021, Tzeporah Berman, chair of the Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty Initiative, argued that the Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty would be a more genuine and realistic way to achieve the goals of the Paris Agreement than the "Net-zero" approach. She claimed the net-zero approach is "delusional and based on bad science." 

    (The above four statements were found on Wikipedia.)

    The current net-zero pledges by the world's top fossil fuel users and producers are telling and sadly funny. If we keep going as we are now, by 2050 - 2070, there will be few, if any, of us left to see if any nation even fulfilled its ridiculously "far too little, far too late" net-zero pledges. 

    The toothless, unenforceable, and vague net-zero pledges should be seen as nothing more than media bla, bla, bla. They are great theatrics for the pledging nations on the world stage. 

    The nations loudly promoting their net-zero pledges also helps hide the truth that the world's top 20 carbon emitters have made no commitments to directly and immediately cut their national fossil fuel use! 

    The correct 2025 targets now need to be enacted to compensate for 50 years of inaction. They will require tremendous sacrifice, suffering, and hardship for all the world's people, industries, and nations. 

    These 2025 global targets require that the world's developed nations enforce and come close to a 75% total reduction in ALL global fossil fuel use by 2025. In addition, these 2025 targets include lesser climate justice-adjusted targets for undeveloped countries, which did not play a major role in creating the global warming emergency. These 2025 national fossil fuel reductions of 75%  include China and India.

    Are the IPCC and its climate conferences trying to help us by hiding a lost cause from us?

    If we attribute the most positive intentions to the IPCC and the attendees of its global climate conferences, one could easily believe that the IPCC, our governments, and even the fossil fuel-related industries were actually trying to prevent a worldwide loss of hope to prevent a global panic. So, if we do attribute the most positive intentions to the fossil fuel industry, the fossil fuel industry was forced to corrupt and co-opt the IPCC and its climate conferences to save humanity from the painful truth that much of humanity will be dead by 2050. 

    It is reasonable to believe that they believed the climate truth and future would create widespread global panic if it were known by the general public ahead of time. Therefore making everyone think we are safe with a big lie about the global warming emergency would be a necessary and "good" thing in the mind of those who do not believe in the resilience of humanity.

    Panic is defined as "a hurried frenzy to do something." If panic helps get something done that is life-critical, then panic is the appropriate evolutionary emotion that needs to be used!

    What the IPCC (and its fossil fuel industry handlers) have underestimated concerning public panic is that there are still years left for the public to get prepared and start adapting to the radical climate catastrophes that are coming. They have also failed to understand that society's wisest individuals and businesses are already preparing resilience backup plans. And, the rest of society will start doing the same sometime after they watch global conditions deteriorate a bit further.

    What the IPCC, its fossil fuel industry handlers, and these climate conferences attendees do not apparently value is that to prevent a panic where panic is the appropriate and needed response to an impending catastrophe, it is far more dangerous and destructive to hide the valid reasons why the world's citizens should be at the highest alertness and action level concerning this accelerating global warming catastrophe.

    On the other hand, if you apply the principle of Occam's Razor that the simplest and most obvious explanation is often the best explanation, the fossil fuel industry has corrupted and co-opted the IPCC and its climate conferences simply because it wanted to continue to maintain its profits for as long as possible. 

    So here is what we now still face. We have to get close to the correct 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. if we don't, We will lose much of humanity (more than 50%) by mid-century. 

    Worse yet, we will also cross tipping points into uncontrollable runaway global warming and near-total extinction just a few decades after mid-century. (If you still believe that much of humanity dying off by mid-century is not possible or probable, please read this amazing page. It will explain in great detail all of the primary and secondary global warming-related consequences which will lead us close to inevitable extinction.) 

    Based on what we have been discussing, it's time to have some fun with what could or should be happening next.

    What you won't be hearing from the COP26 conference final reports

    The following is what you should hear based on objective, non-politicized climate science. And yes, there is no chance that we will hear the following from any official statement at the end of this upcoming COP26 climate conference.

    Here is what they should be saying.  

    We, the IPCC and the COP26 and previous climate conference attendeesformally apologize to generations X, Y, and Z, all older world citizens, and the most at-risk underdeveloped nations for:

    a. failing to get the world's governments to declare a national and international global warming state of emergency. (This would greatly facilitate those governments allocating all necessary personnel and resources to ensure the correct actions needed to get them close to their 2025 national fossil fuel reduction targets.

    b. not continuously telling the leaders of the world's governments and getting them to understand that if we do not get close to the correct 2025 global fossil reduction targets, much (51% or more) of humanity will be dead by mid-century. We also should have made it painfully clear that most of these global warming-related deaths will occur within the poor and undeveloped countries between the 40th parallel north and the 4Oth parallel south.

    In the image below, the red line marks the 40th parallel north. The yellow line marks the 40th parallel south.

     

     

    We have repeatedly hidden these facts and failed to make the world and the world's politicians understand that escalating global warming is an imminent extinction threat. It will not be much different in total human deaths, suffering, and many other consequences than if a planet killer asteroid hit the earth about mid-century. (Imagine what happened in the Hollywood movies Deep Impact or Greenland). 

    (To learn why it is critical to get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, please go to this page which explains the four extinction-triggering climate tipping points which we will rapidly cross if we do not get close to reaching the 2025 targets.)

    c. not continuously telling the leaders of the world's governments that if we do not get close to the correct 2025 global fossil reduction targets, there also is a high probability humanity will suffer near-total extinction beginning by about 2070. (To learn about how this near-total global warming extinction process will occur, please see the primary and secondary warming-related consequences.)

    d. failing to educate and prepare the world's citizens for the many severe and unavoidable consequences of our 50 years of climate inaction or ineffective action. We must now endure painful sacrifice and immense suffering as we radically cut global fossil fuel use to come close to the 2025 targets to save a liveable future for some of humanity and their children.

    e. repeatedly failing to state the correct 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets while simultaneously, making the public falsely believe in the illusion that if we simply reached net-zero emissions by 2040, 2050, or some other date far beyond 2025, humanity would be safe from extinction.

    f. manipulating and "cooking" the global fossil fuel reduction target calculations by including inappropriate compensatory calculations involving unproven carbon capture technologies. We knew that carbon capture was not proven at scale, was not even remotely economically possible, or tested for possible even worse side effects. Yet, we still included carbon capture compensatory calculations for our global fossil fuel reduction targets even though we knew carbon capture would not be a viable solution in time to save us from the worst extinction level consequences of global warming. This carbon capture scheme was another one of the many geoengineering type illusions we have promoted to help create a false sense of progress, future safety, and that some new technology breakthrough will save us at the last minute from extinction.

    g. promoting other carbon capture schemes to achieve net-zero emissions like Cap-and-Trade, which also create an illusion of safety and will not work in time to save us from global warming's worst consequences! We have failed to adequately disclose to the public that natural, technical, and economic carbon capture schemes are difficult to get up to scale up, verify, or enforce, and they are far too easy to cheat on. 

    h. failing to repeatedly state that the most direct and honest way to make the critically needed global fossil fuel reductions to the required levels in time to save us, is, to simply and immediately drastically reduce fossil fuel use! This now requires enforcing national targets to come close to the correct 2025 global fossil reduction target levels.

    i. repeatedly failing to push the world's governments to agree to enforce these 2025 targets and agree that if they fail to enforce their national targets, they acknowledge they will be punished economically by the world community on an escalating basis until they do meet their agreed-to national fossil fuel reduction targets. 

    j. making world citizens believe that we were making progress in reducing global fossil fuel use when it was actually getting worse, much worse!

    k. wasting decades of legitimate scientific warnings when global fossil fuel reductions could still have been gradual and far more manageable.

    l. hiding the true urgency and severity of the current global warming extinction emergency. 

    m. unfairly creating recommendations, fossil fuel reduction targets, and policies that favor the wealthiest nations over the poorer nations and act to ignore or minimize climate justice concerns and principles. And finally,

    n. being corrupted and co-opted by the fossil fuel industry to invisibly serve its profit-maintenance goals rather than the wellbeing of all current world citizens, all nations, and future generations.

    If by chance, there was a rebellion at COP26, and they could seize control away from the invisible, hidden hand of the fossil fuel industry and the wealthiest nations, the above list would be a perfect climate conference closing summary statement and apology to the world.

    What you most likely will be hearing from the COP26 conference final reports

    The final reports and recommendations of COP 26 will in effect be much like the previous 25 climate conferences. The hidden hand of the fossil fuel industry will still be influencing global fossil fuel reduction amounts at COP26. We will hear more of the same; "if we only reach net-zero by 2050 or we reach net-zero by 2040 or 2030," we will still be able "to have our cake and eat it too."

    Ultimately, the IPCC and these conferences will still be trying to feed us that we can reduce global fossil fuel use just enough to maintain a growing economy without drastic reductions or the painful sacrifices of our fossil fuel-linked comforts. And that is delusional thinking at its worst!

    We will also hear about geoengineering as a great new solution to global warming that will again allow us to keep all of our current fossil fuel comforts and do little to reduce our current fossil fuel use. We will be fed other tech solutions that simply won't work with the limited amount of time we have left (until 2025.) We will hear about many other bright and shiny new solutions that simply can't overcome the laws of physics and mathematics behind the growing hundreds of gigatons of carbon, methane, and other greenhouse gases that we have already put into our atmosphere.

    You also will hear a litany of highly theatrical yet toothless net-zero pledges by the representatives of the world's nations promising this time they really will reduce their nation's total fossil fuel use. These pledges will, of course, be without any practical method of verification, enforcement, or punishment if that particular government fails to meet its commitment.

    If you have been paying attention to this farse, you will see that our global "car for a safe future" is racing towards a cliff with no one driving with adequate control. You will see the COP26 climate conference attendees meekly sitting in the back seat re-arranging the deck chairs on the Titanic as we are racing toward the iceberg and going over the climate cliff to extinction.

    What you most likely will be hearing from the global media about COP26

    Lazy news media people unwilling to do the deep analysis and research will gladly take easy climate conference story ideas from conference attendees, fossil fuel lobbyists, and their shills. The news media will gladly promote the IPCC's sexy magical carbon-sucking unicorn solutions. They will tell us over and over again that carbon capture will be like a knight in shining armor on a big white horse that will rush in at the last minute save us "just in time." 

    You definitely will not hear the news media telling the public anything about the tremendous sacrifices and suffering we must endure for humanity to survive the primary and secondary global warming-related consequences.

    The news media also will passionately avoid telling its comfort-addicted public that the only certain way remaining that we can reduce global fossil fuel burning enough to save humanity from extinction is to immediately, radically, and painfully reduce our global use of fossil fuels to meet the legitimate 2025 targets.

    Should setting global fossil-fuel reduction targets and predicting the timetables of global warming consequences now be removed from the IPCC and its conferences? 

    Just for the sake of argument, suppose that the IPCC and its climate conferences have not been corrupted and co-opted by the insatiable profit needs of the gigantic global fossil fuel industry. Even in this case, the IPCC and the climate conferences should still be panned and ignored.

    The reason is simple. IPCC and the climate conferences are the wrong sources from which proposed regulation for the fossil fuel industry should be made. This wrong source concept is valid because of basic common sense and the long-standing conflict of interest regulatory principle. 

    This principle states you never have individuals or organizations regulating or overseeing the same industries they are paid by because of the inherent conflict of interest. In the case of the IPCC and its climate conferences, their operational funding comes in significant part from the wealthiest oil-producing nations and indirectly from the fossil fuel-related industries. But, what should we now do about this proposed wrong source for fossil fuel industry regulation?

    We believe that the world should begin exploring other options for honest predictions and honest global fossil fuel reduction targets wherever there are not such glaring conflicts of interest. One possibility is to have independent, non-political think tanks funded by the world's citizens take over the tasks of analyzing and summarizing the research of the current volunteer climate scientists. This way, we might get an honest climate analysis and the correct global fossil fuel reduction targets that will help us avoid mass extinction.

    Everything is at stake here! If we do not get the global warming extinction emergency under control, the extinction of humanity and the collapse of global civilization is a rapidly approaching reality. This extinction level of importance and responsibility is far, far beyond the IPCC's compromised and co-opted bureaucrats, administrators, and climate attendees. That is why we now need to consider alternative analysis and recommendation sources for the future.

    Concluding and summarizing thoughts

    a. Despite all the IPPC's decades of actions and scores of climate conferences, the amount of additional atmospheric carbon in parts per million on an annual basis has tripled. Since the 1970s, it has been rising exponentially!

    b. Because of the many facts presented above, individuals, environmental groups, informed corporations, and concerned nations should pan, ignore and not support COP26. We will not hear anything new from this new climate theatre (version 26) that will reverse decades of increasing global fossil fuel use.

    c. The IPCC and its climate conferences create and promote dangerous illusions which perpetuate false hopes. These illusions and false hopes deny the correct urgency on the proper actions and falsely calm the general public. They continually act in a way that makes the public falsely believe progress is being made, their future will be safe, and some new technology or geoengineering (like carbon capture, etc.) will save them one second before the clock strikes midnight on our extinction.

    Organizations that intentionally or unintentionally create illusions about current progress or the correct solutions are the most counterproductive! Because of those illusions, a society, group, or individual believing the illusion may try to solve the wrong problem or enact the wrong solutions without ever realizing they are on the wrong course. 

    Creating illusionary solutions is particularly dangerous not only because it denies the correct solutions to the right problem, but also because it makes it near-impossible to avert passing real deadlines and crossing real tipping points. Moreover, when illusions block seeing a painful reality for what it is, it is far harder to make any changes that would be appropriate to improve that reality.

    d. The IPCC and its climate conferences continue to forward incorrect and incomplete climate analysis and gross consequence underestimation. Key areas of their reports and recommendations suffer from the continuous politicization of the analysis and recommendation process by fossil fuel producers, related fossil fuel industries, and their lobbyists.

    e. We now need to resoundingly reject the IPCC and its climate conferences' unreasonable demand that our transfer from fossil fuel energy generation to green energy generation must not harm global or national economies. Instead, we must replace this irrational barrier to resolving the global warming emergency with these realistic and correct principles:

    i. Principle one: "for the long-term wellbeing of our global economies we must fix the global warming extinction emergency. This is because there will be no remaining stable stock, commodity, or real estate markets or, economies in a global warming consequence fueled chaos as much of humanity dies off by mid-century.

    ii. Principle two: "the world's citizens must be taught that:

    1. We need to get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets now to save humanity from extinction within a few decades. 

    2. The most direct and certain way to save humanity from extinction is to cut just global fossil fuel use immediately and ensure we get close to the real 2025 targets. And,

    3. To make the necessary fossil fuel cuts, we will have to make huge sacrifices of our everyday comforts. We also need to be willing to endure tremendous suffering to save humanity and the future." (To understand why this must be done by 2025click here.

    f. Because of the failures of the IPCC and its 25 previous conferences, we now face the IPCC's own worst projections for global temperature rise and related adverse consequences. Climate physics and its mathematics confirms we have a only small remaining window (until about 2025) to retain some reasonable control of our global warming future.

    g. It is time to publically and loudly call out the IPCC and its ineffective climate conferences for the fossil fuel industry co-opted failures they are! It is time for an honest broker for climate change analysis and global warming reduction global targets, consequences, and timetables.

    h. The continuous failures of the IPCC and its conferences beg the question. "Is it finally time to make an organizational climate change summary and analysis change?" The IPCC and its climate conferences have let the wolf into the hen house, and this hungry wolf, being what it is, will not stop eating until every "chicken" is dead. 

    i. We urgently need a non-political, genuinely independent, and qualified group of climate scientists to take over all the responsibilities and actions of the co-opted IPCC and its climate conferences. Just maybe with this change, we are almost out of time. Hopefully, we won't keep doing the same thing over and over, expecting a different result.

    Because of all of the above, it is now time for all of us to become disruptors! The necessity for disruption is obligatory when the scale of damage is so large and severe that one must disrupt the activities causing the genuine threat once they are understood. For example, if there were an understood real and probable threat that would cause the imminent extinction of humanity or destroy the biological or climate systems upon which humanity depends for its survival, one would be obligated to disrupt any organization and its policies or actions causing that threat. 

    You should now understand why the global warming extinction emergency or anything that speeds it up or illusionsthat prevent us from seeing it honestly to resolve it, requires our continual creative disruption. (To learn more about the policy of necessary or obligatory disruption including what to do and ethically how to do it, click here.)

    And finally, if any good comes from COP26, it will be because of Greta Thunberg and all of the other climate protestors demanding the IPCC and the COP26 attendees make the apology described above.

    What you can do about this nightmare!

    We are in a battle for the survival of humanity. We have both an ethical and moral duty to call out offenders and act! Unfortunately, we also have squandered away five decades of inaction when the needed changes could have been gradual and more manageable. 

    There is no more time to wait or remain inactive. To work our way out of this rapidly accelerating nightmare, we must act immediately. Here is a list of ethical disruptive and necessary actions to begin to do your critical part before it is too late. Please help us get thousands of copies of this blog post flying all over the Internet, reaching every place and person where it should be to help reverse the ongoing UN climate conference tragic farse.

    a. Share this post everywhere you think it should go!

    b. Sign the global warming extinction emergency petition for our politicians. It is fast and easy. Click here to sign it.

    c. We need your help with emails and calls to get this COP26 blog post information to everywhere it needs to go. Personalized calls and emails are always more effective than non-personalized calls and emails. If you are not calling or emailing this information to the people mentioned on the list below, and you want to print it and snail mail it, be sure to include the original post link here ( https://www.joboneforhumanity.org/why_the_results_of_the_glasgow ). 

    Here is how to make phone calls to your politicians:

    1. If you are a US citizen, find your congressperson here. If you are not a US citizen, you will need to look up the phone number of your political representatives.

    2. If you are a US citizen, call the US Capitol switchboard (202) 224-3121 to leave your representative a message.  

    3. Then use this or your script: "Hi my name is ___, and I'm calling from ____. I do not support our government using the current United Nations global fossil fuel reduction targets. They are incorrect and far too small! These fossil fuel reduction targets will result in the extinction of much of humanity by mid-century. I am counting on you to use your influence to get our nation to use the correct 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. We cannot continue using the net-zero by 2050, 2040, or 2030 currently promoted targets, or we will fail and many of us will die."

    If you are emailing to people on the lists below: 

    i. Email this post to politicians worldwide, especially before the COP26 International climate change conference. Particularly email US politicians and their support staff. Please forward it to US politicians like John Kerry (the Climate Czar,) Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Gavin Newsom, and other members of the US progressive Squad. (The US politicians just let one senator's vote gut the effectiveness of the changes they would bring to cut emissions COP26.) Please also send this post to any other global politicians you think should see it as well.

    ii. Email this post to all of the delegates, officials, and corporate sponsors of COP26. Maybe some of them will finally stand up against manipulating their climate research work or using their names to continue to protect the profits of oil-producing nations and fossil fuel-related industries. In general, corporate sponsors do not normally want to be associated with failures, unless they are somehow secretly profiting from those failures. 

    Be certain to get this post to the delegations from those mostly underdeveloped nations who are suffering the most from global warming and also have done the least to create it. Maybe collectively, these endangered nations can act to stop the ongoing climate conference fossil fuel reduction target lies.

    iii. Email this post to ecological and global warming educational groups, such as 350.org, Climate Central, Climate Mobilization, Climate Emergency Fund, Sunrise Movement, Sierra Club, World Wildlife Fund, Green Peace, etc. Please send it to any other regional or local environmental and global warming educational groups you think should see it as well.

    iv. Send this article to local regional or national media in your area where you think there might be a news person who is going to do the deep research and analysis and not just accept what is being fed to them by the fossil fuel industry lobbyists, the IPCC, and COP26 attendees. 

    We also strongly encourage you to publically call out and shame any media that does lazy research or promotes fossil fuel industry-shilled or false climate stories. But, please never shame individuals, only the organizations or institutions in which they work! The peaceful public shaming of corporations or organizations is a long-accepted and legitimate social protest action and necessary disruption strategy.

    d. Start to accept the terrible reality of our current global warming extinction emergency. This new reality means that you and I will need to sacrifice and endure the loss of many of our fossil fuel-derived comforts to get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. (For more on what our governments and we need to do to reach the 2025 reduction targets, click here. Please note that individual actions alone will not reverse the global warming extinction emergency at this late stage. At this late stage, only these government-enforced actions will do that.)

    e. Don't forget to begin your personal or business resilience plans because the worst consequences of global warming are no longer avoidable due to our five decades of inaction. This resilience plan contains critical information for living within the Earth's carrying capacity, preparing for what is coming, and adapting your lifestyle and livelihood to become a part of the energy reduction solutions needed for this emergency. Remember, no government, corporation, or NGO will ever be able to keep up with ever-escalating damages and costs of the consequences of global warming. 

    Feel free to translate and quote this post as needed.

    Here are three things to start talking about with friends:

    1. Demand a national carbon Fee and Dividend program, which would immediately price toxic fossil fuel carbon and methane pollution, hopefully at about $150 a ton. (For a complete description of a fair Fee and Dividend program that would not punish the poor, please click here and Scan down the page for the Fee and Dividend section.)

    2. Demand the immediate termination of all fossil fuel industry-related government or taxpayer subsidies. (Currently about 6 trillion dollars a year globally.)

    3. Demand that the fossil fuel industry and its executives be held legally and financially responsible for the 10 million deaths a year they cause through toxic carbon and methane pollution of our atmosphere and all of the related other damages they are doing to our homes, cities, and the environment. 

    References

    The following links will assist curious individuals in getting up to speed on the current global warming analysis.

    Reference Topic 1: Why you can't believe the current IPCC issued global fossil fuel reduction targets or their consequence predictions and timetables:

    Click here to see precisely how the IPCC "cooked the books" and grossly skewed the current IPCC global fossil fuel reduction calculations by including unproven and non-existent "carbon sucking unicorn" technology into their projections. 

    Click here to understand the long-term history of the IPCC underestimating the consequences, timeframes, and the needed global fossil fuel reduction targets by as much as 20-40% or more.

    Click here to see the eleven key climate change tipping points that have been mostly excluded from the IPCC calculations on how much fossil fuel use we must reduce each year globally. 

    Click here to see the REAL 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and why we must get close to a 75% reduction in total global fossil fuel use (oil, natural gas, coal, etc.) by 2025, not the far, far less net-zero emission levels they have pledged by 2050 or 2040! (In the technical notes at the bottom of the 2025 fossil fuel reduction specification page, you will see each calculation and compensation for the various factors that make up the required correct global fossil fuel reduction numbers.)

    To see the many mass mobilization actions our governments must now take to get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and save humanity from near-total extinction, click here.

    Reference Topic 2: How can the probability (or even the possibility) of a soon-arriving near-total human extinction be accurate? 

    Click here to see a detailed "big picture" catastrophic meltdown of our global warming consequences and tipping points. Their interactions with our other 11 major global crises will produce starvation and extinction for much of humanity by mid-century and near-total extinction beginning as soon as 2070.

    Click here to see the four major global warming extinction-evoking tipping points and how close we are to crossing them. 

    Reference Topic 3: What governments must do

    It is time to also call for global warming legal accountability, the immediate termination of all global fossil fuel subsidies, and placing a worldwide price for all corporations on their carbon, methane, and other greenhouse gas emissions and pollution. 

    Click here to learn more about the carbon pricing and other actions our governments and corporations must immediately take to reach the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets.

    Reference Topic 4: The deep causes of this whole mess

    To understand the most profound reasons behind our current global warming emergency and our 11 other most dangerous global crises, please get the book Overshoot. In it, you can learn about the concept of the Earth's carrying capacity (the land and sea acreage available and needed for a given population's needs.) 

    Reference Topic 5: Miscellaneous 

    Click here and read our Job One for Humanity policy on the necessary disruption of all false or dangerous global warming and environmental acts or ideas.

    Please continue to educate yourself about these life-critical climate issues by exploring the documentation and analysis found on this website.

     

    This article has been created in our humble opinion,

    by

    The Global Warming Research Team of the Job One for Humanity Non-profit Organization

     

    PS If we get the global warming extinction emergency under control in time, click here to see the many surprising benefits we can create in a Great Global Rebirth. If you can, we also ask that you support the research and candid climate analysis done by making a tax-deductible donation to the Job One for Humanity nonprofit organization. 

  • What are the 9 most dangerous things most people do not understand about global warming and climate change?

    Overview

    Unfortunately, the 9 most dangerous facts of global warming are the least understood by most of humanity. And, what we do not understand if left unmanaged will kill almost everything!

     

     

    Most people do not understand the following nine facts about global warming. The documentation for these facts is in their full explanations further down this article.

    Fact 1. We are now in a state of runaway global warming,

    Fact 2: The severity, frequency, and scale of global warming consequences occurring will soon start rising exponentially,

    Fact 3: Critical global warming tipping points are already being crossed, 

    Fact 4: Net-zero by 2030, 2040, 2050, 2060, 2070 also equals mass human extinction,

    Fact 5: Crossed tipping points can have both linear cause-and-effect relationships and dangerous and currently unpredictable nonlinear cause-and-effect relationships.

    Fact 6: If we do not make the required 2025 global fossil fuel reductions in time to fix the global warming extinction emergency, without fail, Mother Nature will painfully do it for us!

    Fact 7: We are much like the experimental frogs who boil to death floating in a slowly heating pot that they could easily escape. 

    Fact 8: We are long past the point of individual actions alone saving us. Only worldwide governmental action and mass mobilization to enforce immediate, radical, and painful fossil fuel cuts can save us from extinction.

    Fact 9: The global warming emergency and its future are far worse than the government, the media or the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [IPCC] are telling us.

    Here is the full explanation and documentation for why these nine facts are true

    Fact 1. Because we have wasted decades in ineffective climate actions, we are now in a state of runaway global warming and, it is now too late to prevent the extinction of half of humanity by 2050. But, we still can prevent our total extinction

    Isn't that worth striving for? 

    To help you understand this painful and well-documented truth, we first need to define runaway global warming. Runaway global warming means that global warming will increase on a runaway course. Imagine a train going down a hill with no functional brakes, and you have a good concept of it! However, the scariest thing about runaway global warming is that it will continue, of, and by and of itself with no few practical ways to slow, stop or control it.

    With runaway global warming, the average global temperature will continue to get warmer and warmer. This unstoppable temperature rise will be due to our crossing additional climate tipping points and many other climate factors. Once we increase the average global temperature by four degrees Celcius, adapting to global warming consequences is no longer possible!

    Because of climate system momentum factors, human inertia factors, dangerous climate tipping points, and decades of failed global fossil fuel reductions, we have until about 2025 (or staying below the atmospheric carbon level of 425-450 parts per million) to maintain any remaining realistic control of our runaway global warming future.

    To help you more easily understand what is meant in the sentence above you will need to understand how we measure global warming, what increasing carbon dioxide in the atmosphere tells us about future global warming. 

    Carbon is the main greenhouse gas that we are creating by our fossil fuel use that is causing global warming. Atmospheric carbon from fossil fuel burning is the main human-caused factor in the escalating global warming we are experiencing now. The current level of carbon in our atmosphere is tracked using what is called the Keeling curve

    Each year, many measurements are taken at Mauna Loa, Hawaii to determine the parts per million (ppm) of carbon in the atmosphere at that time. At the beginning of the Industrial Revolution (1) around 1880, before we began fossil fuel burning, our atmospheric carbon ppm level was at about 270. Here is the current Keeling curve graph for where we are as of September 2021.

     

    Keeling Curve Monthly CO2 graph, via Show.earth (2)

     

    As you can see, we are not doing very well. No matter what you hear in the media, if the total carbon ppm level is not going down or carbon’s average ppm level per year is not falling or at least slowing its steep increase, (3) we are not making any significant progress on resolving the escalating global warming emergency. Total atmospheric carbon and carbon’s average ppm level per year are the most dependable measurements of our progress and a predictor of what will be happening with global warming and its many consequences.

    How do we know if we're making honest progress in reducing carbon dioxide to reduce escalating global warming?

    There are at least two ways we will be able to tell that we are making honest progress in reducing global warming:

    1. When we see our average annual increase in carbon ppm levels (currently at about 3 ppm per year) begin dropping, remaining at the current level, or at least rising at a slower rate.

    2. When we start seeing the above Keeling graph levels dropping from the current carbon ppm level (approximately 420 ppm) to carbon 350-325 ppm. (How we do this is in the free Job One Plan.)

    Unfortunately, in July of 2021, we were already at carbon 420 parts per million. (There is a newer carbon graph (CO2) of this in parts per million at the very bottom of this page.)

    Understanding the key factors of climate system momentum factors, human inertia factors, dangerous climate tipping points, and decades of failed global fossil fuel reductions causing runaway global warming

    Most people do not understand this life-critical total extinction preventing 2025 deadline simply because they do not understand the physics and mechanics behind the laws of momentum and inertia. The momentum factor means that even if we stopped 100% of all global burning and use of fossil fuels today, global temperatures would continue rising for the next 2-3 (or more) decades. Furthermore, it also means that the radical 2025 global fossil fuel reductions we must make immediately will not deliver significant benefits for about 2-3 decades. 

    If we ever do make the needed fossil fuel reductions, this climate momentum time lag will challenge the patience and understanding of most everyone. not just our politicians. 

     

     

    The graph above beautifully illustrates an exponential rise in the three critical atmospheric greenhouse gases expressed in parts per billion. Since the mid-1700s start of the Industrial Revolution, these gases have been mostly human-made from burning fossil fuels. Each of these greenhouse gases has built up considerable atmospheric momentum! 

    (Click here if you need to learn more about our 40 years of failed global fossil fuel reductions.)

    The most important reason we have until about 2025 to maintain control of our global warming futures is due to the extremely dangerous climate tipping points. The following information may at times seem a bit complex, but it is worth the time to push through because it is what your very near future will look like!

    The climate cliff versus runaway global warming

    For years our organization had previously called the carbon 425-450 ppm level the climate cliff. This climate cliff was based upon the United Nations' previous target of keeping the average global temperature from rising no more than 2°C above preindustrial levels.

    Now the UN's new climate cliff level is to stay below an average global temperature increase of 1.5C. This target level has changed because global warming consequences above this temperature are now known to be much worse than previously believed. One of the other major reasons now being acknowledged among recognized climate scientists for the new UN 1.5 C climate cliff temperature target level is that there are considerably more atmospheric carbon emissions than was previously predicted. 

    These additional carbon emissions come from other amplifying carbon feedbacks and carbon sink failures. These additional amplifying carbon feedback and carbon sink issues will start to show up just beyond a 1.5C average global temperature increase as soon as 2025. (These amplifying carbon feedbacks and carbon sink failures will be described in detail further below.)

    Newer research also shows that staying at or near a 1.5 C average global temperature increase level is the only temperature level that fully excludes a runaway global warming threat or continuing to cross additional critical or extinction-level global warming tipping points. What this now means, is that because of what runaway global warming can do, going above 1.5C would eventually lead to the mass extinction of most of humanity by mid-century. 

    In our own 2016-17 climate analysis, using the existing fossil fuel infrastructure, we calculated like the UN, the first climate cliff for triggering runaway global warming (the unstoppable crossing of more and more amplifying global warming tipping points) would occur between the carbon 425 to carbon 450 ppm levels. These levels of atmospheric carbon would eventually create at least a 2 degrees Celcius temperature increase over preindustrial levels. 

    The beginning temperature limits for the former climate cliff now need to be updated from its previous carbon level (425-450 ppm) and previous temperature level of about 2 -2.7° C above preindustrial levels to its new climate cliff starting point.

    The new climate cliff shocker

    The UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has calculated that without crossing any climate tipping points, reaching the carbon 420 ppm level is equivalent to a 1.6 C average global temperature increase from preindustrial levels. (As you will soon discover, we have crossed climate tipping points and will quickly cross many more. Additionally, our calculations show the temperatures will rise much higher than the Un's calculations.)

    To stay below a 1.5 C target temperature increase, we would have kept our atmospheric carbon level below 386 ppm. Around 2015, we crossed over 386 carbon ppm level and ensured we would hit the 1.5 C level. 

    Because we went over the climate cliff in 2015, and an average global temperature increase of 1.5 C also triggers runaway global warming, we now have to face runaway global warming is here now. Unfortunately, runaway global warming also means that we can no longer stop the extinction of much of humanity by mid-century. The good news is we can still slow this extinction process down if we come close to the 2025 targets. (It is perfectly normal to reject the possibility of such large-scale extinction occurring so soon. Therefore, we strongly recommend at some point clicking here to see the detailed sequences of some 80 consequences that will bring about mass extinction.)

    All we can do now is slow and delay this extinction consequence. But, it will take a government-driven mass mobilization to do it. This government-driven mass mobilization would have to radically reduce global fossil fuel use and get very close to the 2025 targets as its first action. 

    If the world governments act immediately and get close to the l2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, more people will live longer and more comfortably. And, maybe we can still save humanity from the only thing worse than the extinction of much of humanity by mid-century, - - - total extinction! 

    But unfortunately, there is a bit more bad news. Acting only to minimize the current global warming extinction threat is insane! It is insane because any temperature increase of 1.5 C will also trigger the crossing of three more extinction-accelerating global warming tipping points!

    If nothing is done by our governments to radically slow and reverse a temperature increase above 1.5 C, total extinction will be our eventual future. Supporting this 1.5 C danger is also the Siberia permafrost field research (rather than less accurate computer modeling) by Anton Vaks. 

    This research puts a global permafrost "thaw-down" also beginning at 1.5 C. This Siberian research means that when the world's permafrost crosses this 1.5 C average global temperature increase tipping point, the world's permafrost begins a near-continuous meltdown. This means that after we reach this 1.5 C temperature increase, all permafrost stored carbon and methane will eventually be released from the permafrost. (Atmospheric methane is about 80 times more potent than carbon in raising the average global temperature.)

    This 1.5C permafrost release point plus other human-made carbon and methane releases put us squarely on the fast track for the worst global warming prediction scenarios. (Click here for more documentation on the permafrost meltdown.)

    Our ticking methane time bomb is further illuminated by the atmospheric methane CH4 graph below. When viewing this methane graph, keep in mind that atmospheric methane is about 80 times more effective than atmospheric carbon in increasing global warming. (The atmospheric methane graph below is in parts per billion [ppb].) 

     

     

    It is also vital to know how having already crossed the climate cliff will further accelerate the crossing of more global warming tipping points

    The new carbon 386 ppm tipping point level was our last chance climate cliff because it truly was our last window of opportunity to keep from going over the critical atmospheric carbon level and into the runaway multiple global warming tipping point processes. Once we went over this climate cliff, our average global temperature will inevitably rise to considerably above 1.5C - 2°C (possibly as much as 3.2 C in eventual equilibrium warming.) This is far, far faster than has ever occurred before over geologically scaled time spans. This means that what used to happen over millennia or centuries with our climate systems will now happen over decades with and at numerous tipping points.

    Unfortunately, rapidly rising average global temperatures are not the worst effect of crossing the carbon 386 ppm level and climate cliff. These fast temperature rises will also create an additional and powerful climate momentum factor in addition to the already existing atmospheric carbon climate momentum. This additional momentum will not only push our average global temperature even higher even faster, but it will also literally force many of the 11 critical global warming tipping points (below) to be crossed much faster within the climate and its subsystems. 

    (The illustration below lists the 11 major global warming tipping points. The arrows between the shown tipping points indicate that these tipping points also interact with each other and can trigger each other's main system or subsystem tipping points. When this happens global warming temperatures will soar faster and faster triggering even more climate and human system tipping points.) 

     

     

    (At some point, we also strongly recommend that you click here to learn more details about what each tipping point above is and how they will unfold to bring us closer to total extinction. This tipping point meltdown detail page covers what happens when you cross each of the above global warming tipping points, how they accelerate global warming temperature rise, how they accelerate global warming consequences, and how they cause sudden and complete climate, biological and human system collapses. Crossing these climate tipping points will also make any possible recovery from crossing these tipping points impossible or much slower, harder, and more expensive. This expanded tipping point reading will help you "see" the tremendous and dangerous impact that the many additional and soon-arriving crossed global warming tipping points will have on your future.)

    What to expect in rising temperatures now that we have already have crossed the new carbon 386 climate cliff into runaway global warming

    Since we have already passed carbon 386 ppm level back around 2015, within about 5 years (around 2025 or less,) we can expect to lock in an eventual total minimal increase in average global temperature of about 1.5 C. If we continue to the carbon 425 ppm level, by about 2025 we also can expect to lock in an additional eventual total increase in average global temperature of about 2 -2.7° Celsius (4° - 4.9° Fahrenheit) from preindustrial levels. (In July of 2021, we were at carbon 420 ppm.)  

    The distinguished Professor of Meteorology Michael Mann from the University of Pennsylvania recently stated that once we reach the carbon 405 ppm level in our atmosphere, a 2 degrees C average global temperature increase is already baked in! And, once that happens there is nothing we can do to stop it! 

    At just this 1.5 -2.7° Celsius increased average global temperature level, hundreds of millions will starve and hundreds of millions of people from all over the world will eventually be forced to either migrate or die. 

    Once we went over the new climate cliff of carbon 386 ppm and doomed ourselves to hitting 1.5 Celsius average global temperature increase level, the total heat-producing momentum of all of the previous carbon and other greenhouse gases that we have ever put into the atmosphere (particularly all that additional carbon we have added over the last 50 years,) along with the other factors mentioned further down this page, will inevitably, and rather quickly, continue to push our average global temperature even higher as well as trigger the crossing of even more tipping points at an accelerating rate!

    Because we have already gone over the carbon 386 ppm climate cliff and we have triggered this next level of accelerating climate system tipping point crossings (and additional heat-producing momentum,) this now means that we are now locked into continually increasing temperatures for as much as the next 30+ years as well as crossing even more dangerous tipping points! 

    If we cross the carbon 425-450 carbon ppm tipping point level, we will reach the next key carbon and temperature transitional threshold, where, because of crossing even more future global warming tipping points being crossed at an accelerating rate, we will be unable to stop ourselves from proceeding uncontrollably to average global temperature increases of 3°, 4°, 5°, and 6° Celsius (5.4°, 7.2°, 9°, and 10.8° Fahrenheit respectively.) 

    Once we cross the 2° Celsius (the carbon 425-450 ppm level,) the higher mass extinction accelerating temperature levels of 3°, 4°, 5°, and possibly even 6° Celsius will be all but locked in as well! According to James Hansen one of the world's most important climate researchers, just a carbon 450 ppm level would eventually correspond and develop into an average global temperature increase of 6° Celsius (10.8° Fahrenheit) in this century and the complete end of human civilization as we’ve come to know it. 

    This uncontrollable continuous rise in average global temperature which will cause mass starvation, death, and migration will be due primarily to:

    1. the major global warming consequences will continue to intensify and cross-react as heat rises. 

    The following illustration below will help you to visualize how future global warming consequences will intensify separately and together as we cross more tipping points and global temperatures rise. Imagine all of the global warming consequences whirling around and colliding into each other and amplifying each other because of the agitation and "boiling effect" of ever-increasing heat. This is similar to how the rising heat under a steam cooker churns, whirls, and collides the boiling water inside the steam cooker faster and more violently. 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    As increasing heat boils our planet, just like with boiling water in a pot, the above global warming consequences will intensify and increase in severity, frequency, and scale! (To learn about exactly how the escalating 20 worst global warming consequences will cause mass starvation, death, and migration as well as social, economic, and political chaos, click here.)

    2. more of the global warming consequences (listed above) will go into positive feedback loops as temperatures rise. Think of a positive feedback loop as a small stimulus that then amplifies a specific effect or consequence to be bigger and bigger. For example, if you hold a microphone too close to a music amplifier there will be an irritating scratchy distortion of sound that "feeds back" to the amplifier getting louder and louder the longer the microphone is held closer and closer to the amplifier source. 

    3. our being unable to stop ourselves from crossing more global warming tipping points. Crossing more tipping points will once again trigger other positive feedback loops and points of no return within the systems and subsystems of the global climate. It will also cause global warming tipping points to cumulatively interact with each other,

    4. our continuing to cross "points of no return" within the global warming tipping points processes. Tipping point processes have within them definite points of no return. Once a tipping point's point of no return is crossed, crossing that tipping point is all but inevitable. Once that occurs, things usually collapse quickly and recovery is usually slow, difficult, and costly, or completely impossible.

     

     

    5. the accelerating heat-producing carbon and other greenhouse gas momentum, (we will continue to add more fossil fuel burning carbon to the atmosphere each and every additional year (currently at about 3 carbon ppm per year,)

    6. numerous serious human system inertia and other human system mal-adaptation factors will make it difficult to fix this extinction emergency or recover from it. (Described in detail on this page.)

    Because of the preceding, we have no other rational alternative other than to prevent ever crossing into this next highly dangerous transitional carbon 425-450 ppm threshold range and tipping point. At our current rate of carbon and other greenhouse gas atmospheric pollution, entering this range will begin, unfortunately, sometime around 2025 if we do not get very close to the correct and honest 2025 fossil fuel reduction targets. 

    There is something we can always be certain of in this horrible emergency. No matter what and in spite of all of the challenges and bad tipping point outcomes that are coming, the single constant truth for the best possible global warming outcome for humanity in this emergency is that the faster and more we reduce global fossil fuel use:

    a. the more people we will survive to carry on humanity, life, and our beautiful civilization, and

    b. future generations will suffer less from an ever-increasing sequence of escalating global warming consequences.

    In the illustration below you will see a red vertical "Must never pass, last chance battle line and range of carbon 425 to 450 ppm." As you can see, going over the carbon 425 ppm leads us to a very steep downward darker red slope toward our own rapid extinction. (The illustration below also shows at what carbon ppm levels the six distinct phases of a Climageddon extinction scenario and countdown will occur (i.e CS Phases 1-6 below.) After you read the rest of this document, we also strongly recommend that you also review the detailed year-by-year global warming consequence timetables found in the Climageddon extinction scenario and countdown. (As a reminder, the Climageddon extinction scenario and countdown will be linked again at the bottom of this page.)

    page229image7870976

     

    Here is what is most important to remember about any failure to get very close to our 2025 reduction targets and going over the carbon 425-450 ppm extinction accelerating tipping point:

    1. After we also go over the carbon 425-450 ppm range. We will cross so many more tipping points so fast, there will be little we can do to prevent total extinction.

    The pure mathematics and physics of atmospheric carbon and the other greenhouse gases will begin to go exponential after we go over the carbon 425-450 ppm level. This will drive our temperatures ever higher up to and through at least two more extinction-evoking tipping points and many other global warming consequences described further below. 

    If we do not make the 2025 targets, our final window opportunity to effectively control our own destiny regarding preventing the last extinction-evoking tipping points from being crossed literally closes. This is why this last chance carbon 425-450 ppm tipping point is truly our most important next tipping point to understand and respect. (More about what causes this near-complete loss of control of our global warming future will be explained in the other tipping point sections below.)

    2. After we cross the 425-450 ppm climate cliff, stopping this ever-increasing global warming temperature increasing momentum will be like trying to stop a gigantic boulder from rolling faster and faster down a cliff that keeps getting steeper and steeper. 

    3. We are in an unacknowledged global warming extinction emergency and so far our governments are not even close to being on pace to hit the critical 2025 targets. 

    4. If we fail to hit the 2025 targets we lose our last chance to be able to stop ourselves from going over additional far worse global warming tipping points which will cause neat total human extinction and economic, political, and social chaos within our lifetimes!

    5. If we fail to hit the 2025 targets, global warming consequences will begin accelerating exponentially in frequency, severity, and scale.

    6. In case you're still somehow thinking or believing technology will save us at the last minute, no new carbon removal technologies (what we call magical carbon sucking unicorns,) will be able to save us in time. This is because even those who believe this technology might save us are projecting that they will not even be available at the earliest until sometime after 2050. This will be long after the damage is done and long after anything can be done for the billions of people who will suffer and die! (Please click here if you still have any illusions about new carbon removal technology miraculously saving us at the last minute. The science found there will help you to understand that the only way out of this imminent catastrophe is to radically reduce fossil fuel use globally to meet the 2025 targets.)

    Please for effect, once again see the most current blue Atmospheric CO2 carbon graph (near the bottom of this page) to see how dangerously close we are to this critical carbon 425 ppm tipping point already. 

    Additional thoughts on the critical importance of the carbon 425-450 ppm first major extinction-accelerating tipping point

    Because we have ignored decades of warmings, we are already deep into the global warming trajectory toward extinction and the collapse of civilization. This collapse outcome is highly likely because nine of the known global warming and climate change tipping points that regulate the climatic state of the planet have already been activated.

     

     

    Most of the above-activated tipping points can and will trigger abrupt and significant releases of carbon back into the atmosphere, such as the release of carbon dioxide and methane caused by the irreversible thawing of the Arctic permafrost. After global warming tipping points are crossed, additional warming would become self-sustaining due to both positive feedback loops within the climate system and the mutual interaction of these global warming tipping points. 

    It is best to think about these nine interacting global warming tipping points within the climate system like a row of dominos. These climate system tipping points are so interconnected that knocking over the first couple of "dominos" will most likely lead to a cascade knocking over many, if not all, of them. Once the above global warming tipping point "dominos" begin their falling cascade, we are already at a point of global and societal no return.

    It is not just us saying this:

    Because of these global warming tipping points and positive feedback loops, Professor Hans Joachim Schellnhuber, director emeritus and founder of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, believes that if we go much above 2° C, we will quickly get to 4° C anyway and, a 4° C increase would spell the end of human civilization.

    Johan Rockström, the head of one of Europe's leading research institutes, warned that in a 4°C warmer world, it would be "difficult to see how we could accommodate a billion people or even half of that. Not even a rich minority world survive with modern lifestyles in the post 4°C-warmer turbulent, conflict-ridden world". 

    Many other climate scientists have warned that once the climate warms 4 degrees C over our preindustrial average global temperature, human adaptation to these temperature levels will be all but impossible!

    Leading Stanford University biologists, released new research recently showing species extinctions are accelerating in an unprecedented manner. This rapid loss of biodiversity is another likely tipping point for the collapse of human civilization. (These are the same Stanford biologists who were first to warn us that we are already experiencing the sixth mass extinction on Earth.)

    Soon we will lose control of the tipping points for the Amazon rainforest, the West Antarctic ice sheet, and the Greenland ice sheet in much less time than it's going to take us to get to any dubious and unenforceable global national net-zero emissions pledges. 

    There is an additional and crucial way to think about the race to get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets before we cross more extinction-accelerating global warming tipping points. Imagine that the captain on the Titanic suddenly sees the iceberg in front of him. To slow and steer the Titanic, he needs at least 3 miles, but he is only 1 mile away from the iceberg. In this example, the titanic is already doomed the moment the captain notices the iceberg.

    This Titanic example is not much different than our current situation. We have already gone over the carbon 386 ppm climate cliff and we are doing very poorly in trying to reach the last chance 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. We have wasted so much time over the previous decades ignoring valid scientific warnings; we most likely do not have enough time remaining to "steer" away from extinction. 

    We already have a baked-in minimal 1.5 - 2 degrees C in average global temperature increase and, we have initiated the global climate tipping point cascade effect, which will quickly get us to 4°C and the collapse of civilization. This alone will likely rapidly take us to a far less habitable planet and climate regardless of any additional global fossil fuel reductions we might now make.

     

     

    In the image above, the Planetary Threshold dividing line is the climate cliff previously mentioned of carbon 386 ppm. As one can see, once we cross that carbon 386 ppm Planetary Threshold line, the stability of the planetary climate rapidly collapses into an over-heating uninhabitable Earth!     

    The most probable carbon feedback loops, loss of carbon sinks, points of no return, and tipping points to occur or be crossed after we have crossed the carbon 386 ppm climate cliff in 2015

    1. Decreased albedo from reduced snow cover and melting Arctic ice increasing the earth's heat,

    2. Increased sea ice and glacier melt resulting in additional sea-level rise,

    3. Increased atmospheric water vapor increases resulting in more extreme weather,

    4. Increased permafrost and tundra heating releases more carbon and methane and which results in more heat and more disease epidemics and possible pandemics. This once again speeds up the whole process of more positive feedback loops and crossing more points of no return and tipping points

    Please also note that melting permafrost in the tundra is because the northernmost areas are warming twice as fast as the rest of the world. This permafrost melting also has the potential to cause local and global pandemics caused by ancient viruses and bacteria being released from the permafrost. Already in Siberia they have had localized anthrax and smallpox outbreaks because of the decomposition of ancient frozen animals from the melting permafrost and tundra which residents either had no immunity to or who were not prepared to deal with these outbreaks due to lack of available vaccines. 

    5. Decreased carbon capture from the world's forests as temperatures rise and forests go from removing carbon from the atmosphere to carbon-neutral, no longer removing carbon from the atmosphere. Carbon neutral is the state that occurs before overheated over-stressed forests begin to release carbon back into the atmosphere.

    (Click here to learn more about each item listed above.)

    Here are the most likely keystone tipping points to be crossed after crossing the carbon 386 climate cliff in 2015

    There is an extinction tipping point area that is the most likely first candidate to significantly accelerate the beginning of the end of humanity. It is the increased melting of summer and year-round arctic polar ice due to global warming. 

    It will truly have profound effects not only on worldwide weather stability but more importantly, on lowering global crop yields and increasing global crop failures. It will cause an accelerating massive global starvation, which will then also destabilize national economics, politics, and society.

    In the summer, when Arctic ice melts there is less cooling of all of the growing season areas affected anywhere by arctic weather. The more polar ice melts each year the less cooling and the more heat and drought in and during these critical growing season areas. 

    To make matters worse, food crops are more sensitive to heat when there are droughts and, they are more sensitive to heat, rain bombs, and cold spells when they are just beginning to grow. Unfortunately, because more ice is melting in the Arctic ocean almost every summer and staying melted longer in the year we are losing more and more critical cooling for our absolutely vital food crops and stable growing seasons. 

    The five major food grains are the largest source of the world's food supply. They are corn, wheat, rice, soybeans, and sorghum. 

    All of these grains have upper and lower temperature limits. Most of them cannot survive more than 10 days during their growing season over 100° Fahrenheit particularly, if this heat comes early in their growing season or when their soils are drought dry.  

    Because of the continually increasing loss of the cooling effect on growing regions below the Arctic because of the continually diminishing Arctic ice, the number of growing season days with temperatures over 100° will continue increasing steadily as more and more Arctic ice melts and remains melted longer throughout the year. (We estimate within a decade or so, we could have as many as 30 days of 100-degree heat during the growing season in many critical crop-growing areas.)

    Because melting Arctic ice also affects and disrupts the jet stream and ocean currents like the Gulf Stream, you will also have radical and unseasonable cold spells appearing during the prime crop growing seasons around the world. This will also further reduce food yields and produce more crop failures during the fragile growing season.

    This means that the world is going to continue to experience more and larger crop reductions and failures as more polar ice melts and stays melted longer. To make matters even worse, corn is one of the largest food staples for humanity and it is also one of the most sensitive crops to increasing 100 degrees plus temperatures and drought.

    The following is from Wikipedia:

    “Since 1979, the minimum annual area of sea ice in the Arctic has dropped by about 40%, as measured each September. From sea ice models and recent satellite images, it can be expected that a sea ice-free summer will come before 2020. Models that best match historical trends project a nearly ice-free Arctic in the summer by the 2030s. However, these models do tend to underestimate the rate of sea ice loss since 2007.” (If you would like to see a video of how more polar ice is melting each summer as the years go by click here for this NASA video.)

    The increasing melting of arctic polar ice is a clear warning sign of increasing global warming and future serious reductions in major future crop yields as well as serious increases in future crop failures. This means not only higher prices but ever-increasing food scarcity and increasing global starvation.

    This is not something far-off in the future. It is already happening in many areas of the world. 

    It is also already causing major migrations. This expanding and increasing polar ice melting is a major “canary in the coal mine” for increasing future mass starvation not way off in 2100 as we have been told, but now and in years the decade to follow.

    Already in the growing belt of the United States, we are seeing increased and record-breaking heat, droughts, rain bombs, and other extreme seasonal weather that is having a direct effect in reducing crop yields and crop failures in the most vulnerable areas. This pattern of greater crop yield reductions and crop failures will continue to increase as long as more polar ice disappears and the Arctic remains relatively ice-free into longer and longer summers. As the process of massive crop reductions and failures expand and continues, mass starvation will begin to destabilize all of our other economic, social, and political systems. 

    Additionally, reduced polar ice also reduces the albedo effect, which simply is that white snow or ice reflects heat back away from the earth and out into the atmosphere keeping the earth cooler. As more Arctic polar ice is melted the darker polar oceans absorb the heat, and then heat up more, which once again, causes more global warming.

    As temperatures continue rising, the time frames in which we will be crossing more of the tipping points listed above will get shorter. But that will not be the only significant effect of the melting Arctic ice due to global warming. Paradoxically, according to new studies, because of melting Arctic ice we will also have more extreme cold and heavier snows during the US winters. 

    In general, increased crop yield reductions and crop failures will increasingly occur because of arctic ice melt, increased heat, increased droughts, increase cold spells, and increased rain bombs and extreme weather storms that will make it more and more impossible for modern agriculture and the major food crops to survive throughout their current growing seasons. There are estimates that crop yield reductions and crop failures will average 5 to 10% or more for each degree F that the average global temperature rises until the planet becomes so warm that far too many days of the growing season will be at 100° or more. This will make successfully growing the world's major grains all but impossible.

    The current climate cliff and the 1.5 C temperature increase threshold was the last threshold for excluding humanity's mass extinction threat by mid-century. Staying below 1.5 C was also the last threshold where we still could have prevented a significant acceleration in crossing other more dangerous global warming tipping points. 

    One can see that while you do your best to encourage our governments to meet the 2025 targets, it is also now wise to start your personal global warming emergency backup plan and "Plan B!"

    Summary of the first most misunderstood climate danger

    What not coming close to the critical 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets means and what is at stake:

    1. If we fail, we will not be able to slow down a now unavoidable extinction of much of humanity by mid-century

    2. Only by coming very close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets do we have any reasonable chance of preventing an even worse, total extinction event from ending all of humanity and civilization beginning as soon as 2070.

    3. Because total extinction is associated with crossing the atmospheric carbon threshold of carbon 425 - 450 ppm, we have 3 to about 10 more years at best, to still be able to prevent our total extinction. (Carbon is currently accumulating in the atmosphere at about 3 carbon ppm per year.) 

    4. We have two more dangerous extinction accelerating tipping points after carbon 425-450 ppm. Click here to learn about those even worse tipping points. 

    Fact 2: The severity, frequency, and scale of global warming consequences occurring will soon start rising exponentially. 

    Many of the primary and secondary consequences of global warming will soon stop rising gradually and linearly as they are occurring now! As global warming continues we will cross many more of the 11 key climate tipping points. As we cross more climate tipping points, global warming consequences will not continue to gradually increase in frequency, severity, and scale. Many of the global warming consequences will soon start growing exponentially, (Within the next 3-9 years from 2025-2031.) 

    In the graph below, the red line is an example of a linear, somewhat steady, predictable and gradual global warming consequence growth trajectory. (Linear progression equals 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, etc.) The green line below is an example of a sudden, exponential, and highly unpredictable global warming consequence growth trajectory. (Exponential progression equals 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, 64, 128, 264, etc.)

     

     

    The sudden green line exponential growth in the severity, frequency, and scale of global warming-related or triggered consequences will also eventually produce a sudden and abrupt massive global collapse that will be all but impossible to recover from for most nations. (When we use the terms sudden and abrupt, we are speaking in geological timeframes where 3-5 decades is barely a blink of the eye.)

    Never forget that the most dangerous exponential growth of global warming consequences will begin within the next 3-9 years (about 2025-2031. This exponential transition also corresponds to when we cross the carbon 425-450 ppm tipping point threshold level. Unfortunately, the exponential growth in global warming consequences will continue worsening after we cross the carbon 425 to 450 threshold level as well! 

     

    Chapter_2_Consequence_Tornado.png

     

    This exponential growth in the severity, frequency, and scale of global warming consequences also means that few, if any, NGOs, corporations, or governments will ever be able to either manage or recover from these accelerating consequences for long. Exponential growth also means that unless you have made your emergency preparations long before these consequences begin rising exponentially, you won't have enough time to do so later. 

    This rising danger of getting caught unprepared exists because our social, economic, and political systems also will become exponentially more unpredictable, unstable, and chaotic. This system instability will happen sometime after global warming consequences enter their exponential curves (the green line above.) 

    If you have not prepared for exponentially rising global warming consequence growth long before it is needed (2025-2031), you will find yourself in a living hell! (Our Plan B for Climate Change Resilience will provide many ideas on how to get well-prepared for what is coming and what is now unavoidable because of climate system momentum and human system inertia. Unfortunately, getting correctly prepared will take most people and organizations several years!)

    Fact 3: Now that critical global warming tipping points are already being crossed, many climate-related systems (like the Arctic sea ice, melting glaciers, oxygen-producing plankton, etc.) will also collapse quickly (usually completely or near completely!)

    Click here to see all 11 of the major climate tipping points.

    Fact 4: Net-zero by 2030, 2040, 2050, 2060, 2070 also equals mass human extinction

    Honest, independent, and non-politicized climate researchers have been trying to tell the world for over 50 years humanity is facing extinction. These researchers have been begging us to begin immediate global fossil fuel use reductions to come as close as possible to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets to survive the extinction threat. 

    The 2025 global reduction targets are not anything like the fossil fuel industry-sponsored national net-zero carbon neutral targets, which nations are saying they will reach by 2070, 2060, 2050, 2040, or even 2030! For instance, India has pledged it will be net-zero by 2070, and China promised it will be net-zero by 2060. With much theatrical media coverage, Saudi Arabia also announced it will become net-zero emission by 2060. (Including the US at net zero by 2050, India and China make up the world's three largest carbon emitters.)

    But, there are big secrets concerning the net-zero carbon-neutral pledges. They, too, are feel-good illusions that do not produce anything even close to what is being promised. 

    These net-zero pledges are based predominantly on carbon offsetting. A carbon offset is supposed to reduce global carbon dioxide emissions or other greenhouse gases by compensating with emissions produced elsewhere. Unfortunately, carbon offsets are very difficult to verify, have considerable incentives for fraud, and are easy to fake by both purchasers and the suppliers of such carbon offsets. Additionally, carbon offsets have either no penalties or weak penalties for fraud. 

    James Hansen, the first climate scientist who warned us unchecked global warming would lead to our extinction, has described carbon offsets as "modern-day indulgences, sold to an increasingly carbon-conscious public to absolve their climate sins." Carbon offsets may also be interpreted as greenwashing. This is especially true in the case of most corporate commitments, which do not include actionable goals and schedules that implicate that their 'net-zero' emission goals are anything more than good publicity.

    Theoretically, carbon offsets were meant to support projects that reduce the emission of greenhouse gases in the short or long term. A common offset project type is renewable energy, such as wind farms, biomass energy, biogas digesters, or hydroelectric dams. Other offsets include:

    • Energy efficiency projects like efficient cookstoves.
    • The destruction of industrial pollutants or agricultural byproducts.
    • The destruction of landfill methane.
    • Forestry projects.

    But, that is not what is really happening. Instead, carbon offsets have become another clever way for nations to make fabulous public net-zero pledges, which facilitate hiding their lack of actual fossil fuel reduction from their citizens and the world. 

    In addition to the fraud-friendly carbon offset issue, most net-zero carbon neutral pledges are back-end loaded, meaning most of the cuts are to come well after 2025. (Our last chance fossil fuel reduction target for keeping global warming under our control.) 

    Most of these "emperors' new clothes" pledges also assume steady major technological advances in currently non-existent or unproven technologies or outright revolutionary tech breakthroughs that will somehow reach the required levels of development and scale to save us at the last moment. These net-zero carbon-neutral pledges are just another form of illusion keeping us from making the real and hard choices. These pledges also specifically exclude all fossil fuel exports from figuring into the national accounting and calculations for the net-zero pledge goals. As you can see, net-zero carbon-neutral pledges have more loopholes than a swiss cheese has holes. 

    Unfortunately, there is yet more to the net-zero carbon neutral illusion:

    a. Tracing the history of illusions in climate policy from 1988 to 2021, climate scientists James Dyke, Robert Watson, and Wolfgang Knorr "[arrive] at the painful realization that the idea of net-zero has licensed a recklessly cavalier "burn now, pay later" approach which has seen carbon emissions continue to soar!

    b. In his 16-page report, Dangerous Distractions, economist Marc Lee states that "'Net-zero" has the potential to be a dangerous distraction that reduces the political pressure to achieve actual emission reduction." "A net-zero target means less incentive to get to 'real zero' emissions from fossil fuels, an escape hatch that perpetuates business as usual and delays more meaningful climate action." 

    c. Current net-zero policies will not keep warming within the UN's 1.5°C temperature rise target because they were never intended to. They were and still are driven by a need to protect business as usual, not the climate. If we want to keep people safe, then large and sustained cuts to carbon emissions need to happen now. The time for wishful thinking is over.

    d. In March 2021, Tzeporah Berman, chair of the Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty Initiative, argued that the Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty would be a more genuine and realistic way to achieve the goals of the Paris Agreement than the "Net-zero" approach. She claimed the net-zero approach is "delusional and based on bad science." 

    (The above four statements were found on Wikipedia.)

    The current net-zero pledges by the world's top fossil fuel users and producers are telling and sadly funny. If we keep going as we are now, by 2050 - 2070, there will be few, if any, of us left to see if any nation even fulfilled its ridiculously "far too little, far too late" net-zero pledges. 

    The toothless, unenforceable, and vague net-zero pledges should be seen as nothing more than media bla, bla, bla. They are great theatrics for the pledging nations on the world stage. 

    The nations loudly promoting their net-zero pledges also helps hide the truth that the world's top 20 carbon emitters have made no commitments to directly and immediately cut their national fossil fuel use! 

    The correct 2025 targets now need to be enacted to compensate for 50 years of inaction. They will require tremendous sacrifice, suffering, and hardship for all the world's people, industries, and nations. 

    These 2025 global targets require that the world's developed nations enforce and come close to a 75% total reduction in ALL global fossil fuel use by 2025. In addition, these 2025 targets include lesser climate justice-adjusted targets for undeveloped countries, which did not play a major role in creating the global warming emergency. These 2025 national fossil fuel reductions of 75%  include China and India.

    Fact 5: Crossed tipping points can have both linear cause-and-effect relationships as well as dangerous and currently unpredictable nonlinear cause-and-effect relationships.

    These nonlinear relationships can occur between global warming tipping points and human and biological system tipping points (economy, politics, mass species die-offs, war, and conflict) as well as within and between any other part of the climate system and its subsystems. The presence of counter-intuitive, nonlinear tipping point and system relationships mean that causes and effects within the climate systems and subsystems are sometimes not logically connected, clear, or predictable. 

    This means that within a complex adaptive system like the climate, an area that happens to be a part of its system or its subsystems can create an effect in some other completely different climate system or subsystem where there seems to be no apparent cause and effect relationship between the two climate systems or subsystems. The huge danger here is that if a global warming tipping point triggers a nonlinear reaction in another climate or human system or subsystem, we could quickly find ourselves caught in a gigantic and uncontrollable catastrophic situation without ever being able to predict or prepare for it.

    Never forget that a complex adaptive system such as the climate reacts with its subsystems in both predictable and unpredictable ways. In the illustration below, an action X in climate system A causes the obvious linear effect Y in climate system B, but it can also cause a seemingly unconnected nonlinear XY reaction in climate system C. It is this nonlinear unpredictability in other interconnected and interdependent climate systems which also should cause us great concern as we add more fossil fuel carbon to the atmosphere.

    Chapter_4_Unpredictable_Nonlinear_Reactions.png

     

    Fact 6: If we do not make the required 2025 global fossil fuel reductions in time to fix the global warming extinction emergency, without fail, Mother Nature will painfully do it for us!

    Right now, no matter what we do, much of humanity (51% or more) will die by mid-century because currently, we are ridiculously far from meeting the critical 2025 global targets. (This has been explained on this page and this page.) 

    Worse yet, if we do not get close to the 2025 targets, Mother Nature will take over and keep raising the global temperature until most or all of humanity (75% or more) goes extinct and the Earth is back to its optimal human carrying capacity. 

    Please keep in mind that if we miss the last-chance 2025 fossil fuel reduction opportunity, Mother Nature willexecute her immutable physics and mathematics climate laws to take the dominant control of our global warming future. Humanity will then be thrown into the back seat of a planetary "car," rapidly accelerating towards the cliff to Climageddon. 

    If we fail to get close to the 2025 global reduction targets, and Mother Nature is forced to create a painful global warming solution for our unconscionable failures; hopefully, she will leave a few of us alive so that we can learn the harsh lessons needed to rebuild a new world more in balance with nature. 

    (Click here to see the four extinction-triggering climate tipping points that will be the main tools used by Mother Nature to solve global warming for us if we do not do it for ourselves.)

    Fact 7: We are much like the experimental frogs who boil to death floating in a slowly heating pot that they could easily escape. 

    Our ape ancestors have left us with mental and emotional hardwiring that does not recognize or respond well to distant, complex, or slow-moving threats. Will enough of us understand the heating pot we have put ourselves into, in time to still do something about it? We will know soon; either by 2025 or soon after we have passed the atmospheric carbon level of 425-450 parts per million. 

    To help illustrate how dangerous our current climate situation is, please review the atmospheric carbon CO2 graph in parts per million below. We also are currently adding an additional 3 carbon parts per million to our atmosphere each year. So, you do not have to be Albert Einstein to do the simple math to see how bad things are right now for us soon crossing the carbon 425-450 tipping point!

    At this point, we strongly recommend that you watch this video by a respected climate researcher on runaway climate change. It will help illustrate how everything above fits together.  This video has many clear and helpful slides.

    Fact 8: We are long past the point of individual actions alone saving us. Only worldwide governmental action and mass mobilization to enforce immediate, radical, and painful fossil fuel cuts can save us from extinction.

    (Click here to see what our governments need to do. What limited actions we can take as individuals or businesses is found at the bottom of this page.) 

    Fact 9: The global warming emergency and its future are far worse than the government, the media or the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [IPCC] are telling us. 

    (Click here to see just how much worse things will become and how fast.) 

    What you can do today about the climate change and global warming emergency because we are running out of time!

    1. We do need your help in getting this post to everywhere it needs to go!

    a. Would you please help email this post to more politicians worldwide before the COP26 International climate change conference. Particularly these US politicians because it is doubtful they and their climate staff understand these issues as well. Please forward it to US politicians like John Kerry (the Climate Czar,) Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Gavin Newsom, and other members of the US progressive Squad. Please also send it to all other global politicians you think should see it as well.

    b. Kindly email this post to the delegates, officials, and sponsors of the United Nations next international climate conference (COP26) November 1-12, 2021. It is time the next climate conference stops watering down the correct global fossil fuel reduction targets needed to prevent our mass extinction. 

    Furthermore, it is time for COP26 to stop setting any global warming reduction targets based upon carbon removal technology that does not exist. It is time for COP26 to tell the people of the world exactly how unlivable our global warming future will be because if they fail to mobilize government action again, there will be no time left to reach the correct global fossil fuel reductions. (Click here to learn how the IPCC is distorting carbon capture technology calculations to allow fossil fuel producing nations and the fossil fuel industry to maintain production and profits and keep global fossil fuel reductions targets far below where they should be. 

    c. Please email this post to the ecological and global warming educational groups and their staff mentioned in this post, such as 350.org, Climate Central, Climate Mobilization, Climate Emergency Fund, and the Sunrise Movement, Sierra Club, World Wildlife Fund, etc. Please also send it to ALL other environmental and global warming educational groups you think should see it as well.

    2. Sign this global warming emergency petition to our politicians.

    3. Get started with your personal and business Plan B for Climate Change Resilience today. It also contains information on how to live within our carrying capacity limits, prepare for what is coming, and how to adapt and simplify both your lifestyle and livelihood so you become part of the energy solution to this emergency. 

    Please note that at this late stage, individual actions alone will not reverse the global warming extinction emergency. Only government actions will do that.

    Please help support the research and candid comprehensive climate change analysis done by the Job One for Humanity organization. Make a tax-deductible donation here.

    More documentation

    1. To now learn about the 10 most important current facts on climate change, click here.

    2. To learn how difficult it will be to get close to the extinction-preventing 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, click here.

    3. Please note that this older 2 C limit calculation by the United Nations IPCC did not include adequate tipping point calculations. But, it did wrongly include magical compensatory carbon capture calculations for technology that might not exist for thirty years. It also did not include many other critical calculation factors described here.

     

  • Microsoft, Uber, Procter & Gamble, Visa, Heineken, Verizon, PepsiCo, Unilever, Twitter, Salesforce, and Others Join Amazon in bogus Climate Pledges that Will Support the Die-Off of Much of Humanity by Mid-Century

    Many big corporations are joining Amazon pledging to be net carbon zero across their businesses by 2040. Here is why that is such a deadly, dangerous, and disastrous twisted joke!

    There are three good starting reasons for why these embarrassing pledges are terrible news for all of us:

    1. These huge corporations are using these phony fossil fuel reduction pledges to distract and misdirect the public away from their absolutely massive current fossil fuel burning and use! 

    2. If we do not make the correct 2025 global fossil fuel reductions, much of humanity will be dead by mid-century. Unfortunately, these bogus targets distract us from that critical fact and urgency. 

    3. Worse yet, if we do not come close to the 2025 reductions, we could be facing a total human extinction beginning as soon as 2070 or sooner. (We have provided reference documentation below to support these disruptive claims below.) 

    Microsoft, Uber, Procter & Gamble, Visa, Heineken, Verizon, PepsiCo, Unilever, Twitter, Salesforce, Amazon, and others are monster corporations with lots of intelligent people who should have done the current and correct climate research. If they had, they would have known that net-zero emissions by 2040 is "far too little far too late!"

    What is most dangerous about these phony corporate climate pledges is that they hide the real global warming danger and urgency from society by making society think that the problem is being solved correctly or we are making the correct progress on solving it --- when both are incorrect!

    (See the atmospheric carbon (CO2) graph below, which shows the no global warming progress reality our corporations and governments are hiding. Much of this increasing atmospheric carbon below is from fossil fuel burning.)

    To help the pre-named corporations correct this embarrassing global screw-up, below is the research and analysis they need to review to see if they can get their ridiculous, under-achieving climate pledges correct the second time! If these major corporations, with all their cash and talent, can't get this right, how can we expect other smaller corporations or governments ever to get it right?  

    However, what is good for these corporations (the ridiculously low climate pledges) IS very bad for the rest of the world. These new climate pledges are beyond unconscionable for preserving the life spans and quality of life for generations X, Y, and Z!

    This grossly anemic and phony corporate climate pledge gambit appears to have been coordinated by the .com, Global Optimism. Global Optimism is co-founded by Christiana Figueres, a former UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) executive who oversaw the creation of the IPCC's grossly underestimated global fossil-fuel reduction targets. These are the same global fossil fuel reduction targets that strongly benefited fossil fuel-producing nations and fossil fuel-related industries. (More about the IPCC's gross underestimation of global warming fossil fuel targets and its many climate politicization problems in the references below.)

    From a distance, it looks like Global Optimism might possibly be heavily funded by Bezos or Amazon or other big fossil fuel corporate emitters trying to convince us they are doing the right things concerning global warming. From a distance, Global Optimism looks like a slick front organization designed to protect corporate interests while making us think those corporations are doing true good for the environment and are working to effectively fix global warming.

    References

    The following links will assist the above-named corporations to get up to speed on the current edge of global warming analysis. Below you also will find the real 2025 global fossil fuel reductions needed that these corporations should have pledged to reach. 

    We strongly recommend that the above-named corporations have individuals who are also highly fluent in systems theory, tipping point theory, and the qualities of complex adaptive climate systems review these links below.

    Reference Topic 1. Why you can't believe the current government or IPCC issued global fossil fuel reduction targets or their consequence predictions and timetables:

    Click here to see how the IPCC "cooked the books" and grossly skewed the current IPCC global fossil fuel reduction calculations by including unproven and non-existent "carbon sucking unicorn" technology into their projections. 

    Click here to understand the long-term history of the IPCC underestimating the consequences, timeframes, and the needed global fossil fuel reduction targets by as much as 20-40% or more.

    Click here to see the eleven key climate change tipping points that have been mostly excluded from the IPCC calculations for how much fossil fuel we must cut each year globally. 

    Click here to see the REAL 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and why we and the above-named corporations must get close to a 75% reduction in total global fossil fuel use (oil, natural gas, coal, etc.) by 2025, not the far, far less net-zero emission levels they have pledged by 2040! (In the technical notes at the bottom of the 2025 fossil fuel reduction specification page, you will see each calculation and compensation for the various factors that make up the actual required global fossil fuel reduction numbers.)

    To see the mass mobilization actions our governments must now take to get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and save humanity from near-total or total extinction, click here.

    Reference Topic 2. How can the probability (or even the possibility) a soon-arriving near-total, or total human extinction be accurate? 

    Click here to see a detailed "big picture" catastrophic meltdown of our many global warming consequences and tipping points. Their interactions with our other 11 major global challenges will produce starvation and extinction for much of humanity by mid-century and near-total or total extinction beginning as soon as 2070.

    Click here to see the four major global warming extinction-evoking tipping points and how close we are to crossing them already. 

    Reference Topic 3. Miscellaneous

    It is time to also call for global warming legal accountability, the immediate termination of all global fossil fuel subsidies, and placing a worldwide price for all corporations on their carbon, methane, and other greenhouse gas pollution. (For carbon pollution for all corporations this price should be in the range of $150 or more per ton for each ton of carbon emitted.) Click here to learn more about all of the carbon pricing and other actions our governments and corporations need to immediately take to reach the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets.

    Reference Topic 4. In case the executives from the above-named corporations get mad at us and want to retaliate for calling out their ridiculous, phony, and counter-survival pledges.  

    Click here and read our policy on the necessary disruption of false or dangerous acts or ideas. 

    Please forward this post to all who should see it!

    In our humble opinion,

    The Global Warming Research Team of the Job One for Humanity Non-profit Organization

    PS And if you are reading this and you are wondering, what can you do about the horrible global warming mess we have created for ourselves?

    Click here to see Plan B. (Many actions that need to be on a government level Plan B emergency backup plan are also discussed on this Plan B information page.)

    And, if we get the global warming extinction emergency under control in time, click here to see the many surprising benefits we can create in a Great Global Rebirth. 

    To help do something about the climate change and global warming emergency, click here.

  • New Amazon Bezos Fossil Fuel Reduction Climate Pledge is a Twisted Joke that Will Actually Support the Die-Off of Much of Humanity by 2050

    Amazon, the alter-ego of Jeff Bezos has pledged to be net carbon zero across its businesses by 2040. Here is why that is such a deadly joke!

    If we do not make the correct 2025 global fossil fuel reductions, much of humanity will be dead by mid-century. 

    Worse yet, if we do not come close to the 2025 reductions, we could be facing a total human extinction beginning as soon as 2070 or sooner. (We have provided reference documentation below to support these two publicly well-hidden claims.) 

    Amazon is a monster corporation with lots of intelligent people who should have done the correct deep climate research. If they had, they would have known that net-zero emissions by 2040 is "far too little far too late!"

    What is most dangerous about the phony Amazon/Bezos climate pledge is that it hides the real global warming danger and urgency from society by making society think that the problem is being correctly solved or we are making the correct progress on solving it, when both are incorrect. (See the atmospheric carbon (CO2) graph below, which shows the actual no global warming progress reality our corporations and governments are hiding. Much of this increasing atmospheric carbon is from fossil fuel burning.) 

    To help Amazon correct this embarrassing global screw-up, below is the research they need to review to see if they can get their ridiculous, under-achieving climate pledge correct the second time! If Amazon, with all its cash and talent, can't get this right, how can we expect other corporations or governments ever to get it right?  

    In this case, what is good for Amazon is very bad for the rest of the world. This Amazon/Bezos pledge is beyond unconscionable for preserving the life spans and quality of life for generations X, Y, and Z!

    By the way, here are the other misguided corporations who have joined in making counter-survival climate pledges that will actually support the die-off of much of humanity by 2050. To name just a few of these corporations, they are Twitter, Salesforce, Procter & Gamble, Visa, Heineken, Alaska Airlines, Verizon, PepsiCo, Best Buy, Reckitt Benckiser (RB), Microsoft, Unilever, and Uber. (There are supposedly some 190 more that we are working to disclose as well.)

    This grossly anemic corporate pledge gambit appears to have been coordinated by the .com, Global Optimism. Global Optimism is co-founded by Christiana Figueres, the former IPCC former executive who oversaw the creation of the IPCC's grossly underestimated global fossil-fuel reduction targets. The same global targets that strongly benefited fossil fuel producing nations and fossil fuel-related industries. (More about IPCC underestimation and other problems in references below.)

    From a distance, it looks and appears like Global Optimism might be heavily funded by Bezos or Amazon or other big fossil fuel corporate emitters trying to convince us they are doing the right things concerning global warming. If anyone knows who primarily is funding Global Optimism or the approximate salaries of the key executives, please let us know. From a distance, Global Optimism looks like and appears as a slick front organization designed to protect corporate interests and ongoing profits while making us think those corporations are doing true good for the environment and are working to effectively fix global warming.

    References

    The following links will assist Amazon to get up to speed on the current edge of global warming analysis. Below you will find the real 2025 global fossil fuel reductions needed that Amazon should have pledged to reach. 

    We strongly recommend that Amazon has individuals who are also highly fluent in systems theory, tipping point theory, and the qualities of complex adaptive climate systems review these links below.

    Reference Topic 1. Why you can't believe government-issued global fossil fuel reduction targets or their consequence predictions and timetables:

    Click here to see how the IPCC "cooked the books" and grossly skewed the current IPCC global fossil fuel reduction calculations by including unproven and non-existent "carbon sucking unicorn" technology into their projections. 

    Click here to understand the long-term history of the IPCC underestimating the consequences, timeframes, and the needed global fossil fuel reduction targets by as much as 20-40% or more.

    Click here to see the eleven key climate change tipping points that have been mostly excluded from the IPCC calculations for how much fossil fuel we must cut each year globally. 

    Click here to see the REAL 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and why we must get close to a 75% reduction in total global fossil fuel use (oil, natural gas, coal, etc.) by 2025, not 2040! (In the technical notes at the bottom of the 2025 fossil fuel reduction specification page, you will see each calculation and compensation for the various factors that make up the actual required global fossil fuel reduction numbers.)

    To see the mass mobilization actions our governments must now take to get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and save humanity from near-total or total extinction, click here.

    Reference Topic 2. How and why can a soon-arriving mass, near-total, or total human extinction be accurate? 

    Click here to see a detailed "big picture" meltdown of our many global warming consequences and tipping points. Their interactions with our other 11 major global challenges will produce starvation and extinction for much of humanity by mid-century and near-total or total extinction beginning as soon as 2070.

    Click here to see the four major global warming extinction-evoking tipping points and how close we are to them already. 

    Reference Topic 3. Miscellaneous

    It is time to also call for global warming legal accountability, the immediate termination of all global fossil fuel subsidies, and placing a worldwide price for all corporations on their carbon, methane, and other greenhouse gas pollution. (For carbon pollution for all corporations (like Amazon,) this price should be in the range of $150 or more per ton.) Click here to learn more about all of the carbon pricing and other actions our governments and corporations need to immediately take to reach the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets.

    Reference Topic 4. In case the Amazon executives get mad at us and want to retaliate for calling out their ridiculous counter-survival pledge.  

    Click here and read our policy on the necessary disruption of false or dangerous ideas. 

    Please forward this post to all who should see it!

    In our humble opinion,

    The Global Warming Research Team of the Job One for Humanity Non-profit Organization

    PS And if you are reading this and you are wondering, what can you do about the horrible global warming mess we have created for ourselves?

    Click here to see Plan B. (Many actions that need to be on a government level Plan B emergency backup plan are also discussed on this Plan B information page.)

    And, if we get the global warming extinction emergency under control in time, click here to see the many surprising benefits we can create in a Great Global Rebirth. 

    To help do something about the climate change and global warming emergency, click here.

     

  • Can we still solve global warming in time to save humanity from mass extinction?

    For 40 years, scientists have been telling us how to fix global warming. We have not listened to them. Our governments squandered 40 valuable years over which we could have gradually made the required global fossil fuel reductions. 

    (Editors note: This blog post came about because several climate researchers and education organizations asked our organization to assist in finding a new strategy that truly could resolve the global warming emergency. As a result, we spent weeks reviewing 12 years of climate research and analysis and the most recently released climate studies. The following blog post answers these peers and other organizations educating the public on global warming.

    Unfortunately, you will not hear anything like this post from US politicians like John Kerry (the Climate Czar,) Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Gavin Newsom, or any other global politicians. These politicians support the too slow and grossly too small current government-sanctioned global fossil fuel cutback levels. Moreover, you will not hear the following information from other environmental groups or the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [IPCC].

    What you are about to read will shock most of you. Accordingly, there is extensive documentation at the end of the article to verify each statement's legitimacy.

    Can we still solve global warming in time to save humanity from mass extinction?

    There is a bad news answer to this question. It is now all but impossible to make the critical global fossil fuel reductions in time to prevent the die-off of much of humanity by mid-century. This mass human die-off would occur mainly because the major grain crops, wheat, maize, barley, oats, rye, and sorghum, will suffer massive harvest failures. These grains cannot normally survive 30 plus days of 100-degree or more heat during the regular growing season.

    To avoid this die-off, our governments would have to reduce all global fossil fuel use of oil, coal, and natural gas by about 75% by 2025.) Our governments cannot make this 75% global reduction target by 2025 because they squandered their opportunity over the last 40 years when these reductions could have been gradual, easier, and still possible!

    Worse yet, if our governments do not immediately come close to the required 2025 global fossil fuel cuts, it is highly doubtful we will be able to prevent a near-total or total human extinction beginning sometime around 2070 or sooner. (If you think either of the above extinction outcomes is highly unlikely, please read this page.)  

    Additionally, we will not be able to adapt our way out of many of the soon arriving and unavoidable global warming-related consequences. Of course, there will be minor global warming consequences for which individuals or businesses can adapt. But, as global warming consequences intensify, multiply, and accelerate, no nation or corporation will be able to harden its critical infrastructure fast enough to stay ahead of the Climageddon nightmare that is coming.

    The massive government-driven hardening of critical infrastructure will not work in most areas because:

    1.) The sheer size of the hardened infrastructure needed is so vast that no nation or corporation has enough laborers or money to build it. For example, imagine all of the following infrastructure areas having to be hardened at the same time over the next ten years or so; higher sea walls, dikes, and levies, new water reservoirs in severe drought areas, new street drain systems to remove massive rain bomb deluges, raising or moving sea or river flooded roads, suppression of wildfires by massive forest clearing, hardening private, commercial and government buildings from wind and severe storm damage, moving sewage and water treatment plants away from flooding areas, moving low-lying or wind-affected energy transfer, electrical, and communications infrastructure, etc., etc. Even hundreds of trillions of dollars would not be nearly enough to harden most global areas needing hardening.) 

    2. As interconnected global warming consequences intensify, multiply, and accelerate, it will be impossible to build the hardened new infrastructure fast enough to keep up with ever-worsening consequences hitting the target areas. For example, once any nation plans and builds for 500-year storms, it will get hit by 1,000-year and 10,000-year storms. Once they harden all at-risk buildings to survive a category five hurricane, category six and category seven hurricanes will start appearing regularly. Furthermore, the big infrastructure projects we will need often take years to plan and decades to complete. Therefore, if attempted, they will most likely be and arrive, "too little too late!"

    3. Infrastructure hardening for only the most affluent areas is being proposed in many places. This limited adaptation solution will transfer even more problems to the poorer regions, creating even worse environmental, social, and political issues! 

    It does not take Albert Einstein to see that humanity adapting by the mass hardening of the existing national infrastructure to withstand the coming global warming nightmare is not a viable long-term global warming survival strategy.

    Expanding the answer to the question, "can we solve global warming in time to save humanity from mass extinction?

    We have not solved the global warming emergency over the last 40 years. During these 40 years, global warming has become much worse at faster and faster rates! 

    The following graph shows three of the primary greenhouse gases in parts per billion (PPB). All three of these greenhouse gases have been increasing rapidly since the Industrial Revolution (about 1750.) Furthermore, they have been growing exponentially since 2000.

    Below, you see the complete and utter failure of the IPCC and our governments in doing anything effective to reduce global fossil fuel-related greenhouse gases, particularly over the last 40 years.

     

     

    Therefore it is reasonable to conclude:

    1. We won't resolve global warming in time to save much of humanity from dying by mid-century. (This is because we did not reduce global fossil fuel use amounts even remotely enough over the past 40 years to prevent this mass die-off when we still could.) 

    2. We will not prevent a near-total or total human extinction unless we slow down global warming sufficiently. (We only can do this by getting close to the painful and correct 2025 global fossil fuel targets. These are the targets that no government has yet to even acknowledge.) 

    There is nothing any global warming or environmental group, climate researcher, or global warming authority can do to change the hard truths of the above two statements. 

    The only practical remaining thing any of us can do now is:

    1. to get our politicians and governments to enforce the radical 2025 global fossil fuel reductions that will finally slow down global warming enough to prevent our near-total or total extinction. And,

    2. to start Plan B, which is a worldwide global warming emergency backup plan. (We need to begin a Plan B because our true ability to prevent a global warming-fueled near-total or total extinction is insanely low.) 

    Any national Plan B must also include government actions that will immediately begin the long and challenging process of relocating under 30 citizens, our most critical infrastructure, and the necessary plants and animals. This mass relocation process must get into the world's global warming safer areas before it is too late!

    Any national government-driven Plan B mass mobilization needs to begin immediately because:

    a. we are grossly unprepared for the intensity of the soon arriving global warming consequences and

    b. the needed government-driven Plan B giant "build and transfer" projects will take a decade or more to complete. (We have only a decade or two before accelerating global warming will be so destructive that mass migrations and massive construction or transfer projects will become too complicated, costly, or slow to ever complete.)

    Unfortunately, our governments will never be able to keep up with the ongoing destruction and costs of accelerating climate change. Because of this growing government inability, we also strongly encourage wise individuals is to start their personal and business Plan B soon! 

    If our governments fail to act in time, Mother Nature will become our "last resort," savior, and solution

    Even if our governments fail at making the necessary 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, all is not lost. Luckily as a last resort, mother nature can be fully relied upon to solve the global warming emergency for us.

    If we fail to act over the following decades, mother nature will continue to burn off the human virus overheating her and giving her a fever. After centuries to thousands of years, mother nature also will eventually rebalance our polluted atmosphere and complete the global warming solution. 

    In summary

    The only strategy that will save humanity from near-total or total extinction in time is getting close to the 2025 target and reducing ALL global fossil fuel use by 75%. There are no "new technology" or geoengineering silver bullets that will work within the needed time frame. Only immediate and massive global fossil fuel reductions can save us. 

    If US politicians like John Kerry, Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Gavin Newsom, and many other global politicians would be courageous climate leaders and tell us truthfully that we must now endure huge and painful sacrifices for ourselves as well as for our children and future generations, we could finally begin the honest process of making the essential 2025 global fossil fuel reductions. 

    Thus far, not one climate-friendly politician is talking about the single most simple, direct, and effective, "first things first" way to end the global warming extinction emergency by enforcing sufficient global fossil fuel use reductions to get close to the legitimate 2025 targets! All these grossly uninformed climate-friendly politicians do seem to be talking about is how to spend billions and billions of dollars on secondary and tertiary "too little too late" tactics, solutions, and strategies. 

    All we can hope for now is that our governments will act immediately on the 2025 targets slowing down global warming just enough so that, at least, some small part of humanity can survive. 

    If some small part of humanity does survive the Great Global Collapse and learns from our mistakes, humanity will still retain the possibility of someday ushering in a new Great Global Rebirth.

    And finally, there is still lots to be done and years of life to live as you and all of the rest of us execute our personal Plan B emergency plans as well as we can. 

    What kinds of Reprioritization and Re-Framing does this means for Worldwide Climate Change Educational Organizations

    Because of the above facts, climate change education organizations like Extinction Rebellion, Greta Thunberg's Fridays for the Future, 350.org, Climate Central, Climate Mobilization, Climate Emergency Fund, and the Sunrise Movement, etc., must rapidly adapt to today's harsh global warming realities and alter their global warming education and strategies as follows.

    All global warming and environmental education organizations need to tell the world:

    1. The global warming-related battle to save the lives of much of humanity by mid-century has already been lost and the new battle to prevent total extinction has begun.

    2. What our governments enforce today determines if they will prevent near-total or total human extinction beginning near or before 2070. (Our governments must get very close to reaching the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets.)

    3. Global warming organizations need to educate that the reason we have to come close to the 2025 global reduction targets to survive is because of already "baked in" climate momentum and inertia factors and many soon-to-be crossed climate tipping points. The public needs to fully realize that global warming will go out of our control for centuries, and most of us go extinct if we do not get close to the last-chance 2025 targets!

    4.  At the same time governments are enforcing the 2025 global fossil fuel reductions, all governments must also begin a national Plan B emergency backup plan. We are far from having any guarantees of our governments getting us close to the 2025 targets. In fact, it is highly probable our governments will continue to enforce only token and grossly inadequate global fossil fuel reductions.

    5. Private individuals and businesses should begin their Plan B emergency backup plans now because our governments will most likely continue with "business as usual" and not enforce the extinction-preventing 2025 global fossil fuel reductions in time. And,

     

     

    6. Global warming and environmental organizations must stop denying the current global warming condition because "denial is what you do to make a painful reality last longer and hurt more." Within a few decades, this institutionalized global warming denial if it continues, will kill most, if not all of humanity as well as many of the other beautiful species on the planet. 

    Additional Fact Checking Links Arranged by Related Topics

    The following links will assist global warming and environmental organizations get up to speed on the current edge of global warming analysis. We strongly recommend these organizations have their brightest members who are also highly fluent in systems theory, tipping point theory, and the qualities of complex adaptive systems review these links and report back to the management and marketing teams.

    Topic 1. Why you can't believe government global fossil fuel reduction targets or their consequence predictions and timetables:

    Click here to understand the long-term history of the IPCC underestimating the consequences, timeframes, and the needed global fossil fuel reduction targets by as much as 20-40% or more.

    Click here to see how the IPCC "cooked the books" and grossly skewed the current global fossil fuel reduction calculations by including new "carbon sucking unicorn" technology into their projections. 

    Click here to see the eleven key climate change tipping points that have been mostly excluded from the IPCC calculations for how much fossil fuel we must cut each year globally. 

    Click here to see the REAL 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and why we must get close to a 75% reduction in total global fossil fuel use (oil, natural gas, coal, etc.) In the technical notes at the bottom of the page, you can see each calculation and compensation for the various factors that make up the real global reduction numbers.

    To see all of the mass mobilization actions our governments must take to get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and save humanity from near-total or total extinction, click here.

    The 28 reasons listed on this page will explain why we will not be able to solve global warming in time to save much of humanity from extinction by mid-century. (Much here means 51% or more.)

    Topic 2. How and why can a soon-arriving mass, near-total, or total human extinction be accurate? 

    Click here to see a detailed "big picture" meltdown of our many global warming consequences and tipping points. Their interactions will produce starvation and extinction for much of humanity by mid-century and near-total or total extinction beginning as soon as 2070.

    Click here to see the four extinction-evoking tipping points and how close we are to them already. 

    Click here for the enormous social activism challenges of getting the public to demand their politicians act before they, their children, and we are dead! 

    Watch this 7-minute video to grasp on an emotional level how serious our global warming extinction emergency is right now.

    Topic 3. What can you do about the horrible global warming mess we have created for ourselves?

    Click here to see your Plan B. (Some things that need to be on a government level Plan B emergency backup plan are discussed on this Plan B information page.)

    Click here to see the many surprising benefits we can create in a Great Global Rebirth, but only if we get the global warming extinction emergency under control in time.

    To help do something about the climate change and global warming emergency, click here.

    Topic 4. Are you new to the global warming issue and how global warming occurs?

    Click here if you are new to the climate change emergency and do not understand the basics of how and why global warming is taking place. 

    Topic 5. Miscellaneous

    It is time to also call for global warming legal accountability, the immediate termination of all global fossil fuel subsidies, and placing a worldwide price for all corporations on their carbon, methane, and other greenhouse gas pollution. (For carbon pollution, this price should be in the range of $150 or more per ton.) Click here to learn more about all of the actions our governments need to take to reach the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets.

    We really need your help in getting this post to everywhere it needs to go!

    1. Would you please email this full post to the politicians and their staff mentioned in this post? Please also send it to all other global politicians you think should see it as well.

    2. Kindly also email this full post to the delegates, officials, and sponsors of the United Nations next international climate conference (COP26) November 1-12, 2021. It is time the next climate conference stops watering down the correct global fossil fuel reduction targets needed to prevent our mass extinction. 

    Furthermore, it is time for COP26 to stop setting any global warming reduction targets based upon carbon removal technology that does not exist. It is also finally time for COP26 to tell the leaders and people of the world exactly how unlivable our global warming future will be because --- if they fail to mobilize our governments again, there will be no time left to reach the correct global fossil fuel reductions. 

    3. Please email this full post to the ecological and global warming educational groups and their staff mentioned in this post. Please also send it to all other environmental and global warming educational groups you think should see it as well.

     

     

  • Feeling emotionally upset about global warming and the deterioration of our environment? Here is a super-powerful emotional support YouTube video!

    Are you feeling any of these emotions about climate change or the environment; anger, sadness, anxiety, fear, depression, dread, grief, worry, resignation, or apathy? 

    There exists a massive reservoir of emotional upset about accelerating global warming and our deteriorating environment held by hundreds of millions of people worldwide. There is now an effective new YouTube video tool to heal and release a lot of this upset!

    The Job One for Humanity non-profit warmly recommends the New Serenity Prayer video by Michael Dowd. As you will see, it is very different in interpretation from the Alcoholics Anonymous serenity prayer for better daily life management and nothing at all like a traditional prayer. 

    However, if you give it 3 minutes, you too will discover that it is full of surprises and practical new ideas. It will take you to healing places for your raw emotions you probably never thought about or considered.

    In our humble opinion and staff experience, this video will help lessen and relieve the many painful and troubling emotions, so many of us are now feeling.

    This new video support tool is essential because we will feel better once we acknowledge these upsetting emotions and start processing them. This video can also help you become more effective in managing the very things causing us this emotional distress.

    Click here to view this crucial new YouTube video for help in processing any emotional upset you may have about accelerating global warming and our deteriorating environment! 

    Our organization has promised not to ignore your emotional support as we present challenging research about accelerating global warming and our deteriorating environment. Recommending this powerful video by one of our respected peers is another example of that ongoing support and commitment to your emotional wellbeing as we all struggle through this crisis.

    While we whole-hearted recommend this video, there are...

    several nuanced differences in our positions and focus at Job One for Humanity from those expressed by Michael Dowd in this video. However, most individuals will not even notice these subtle differences.

    For those that do notice, here is additional information about those nuanced differences.  

    1. The video section called Change the Things We Can, it does not say much about the ongoing actions we can still take to slow and lessen accelerating global warming and environmental degradation. Despite our mostly out-of-control climate change and ecological biocide, Job One always forwards that no matter what, you still have many action options to slow down and lessen the impacts of global warming and environmental degradation. Furthermore, we always tell our members and visitors that more people will live longer and more stably by all of us acting effectively to deal with these issues.

    We make it clear that once you understand what is happening with the climate and the environment, we all have an ethical and moral obligation to do whatever we can within our respective zones of influence to slow and lessen these harms. We also provide the 4 part Job One for Humanity plan with almost 80 different actions to chose from within one’s zone of influence.

    2. In another part of the video, the video states that climate change is not the main problem. While we fully recognize that overpopulation and overshoot are the physical root causes of accelerating global warming and our deteriorating environment, we also strongly acknowledge that today's rapidly accelerating global warming is the primary driver, disrupter, threat multiplier, and threat amplifier for almost all of these 12 major global crisis, (which includes many forms of environmental deterioration.)

    Accelerating global warming is also our most certain and earliest-arriving collapse accelerator for almost all of our other 12 major global crises. As such, it is the most critical, imminent, and accelerating crisis that we have to slow and lesson as much as possible. Slowing and lessening global warming is the only way we will ever be able to slow and lessen most of the other 12 global crises we face most effectively.

    A bit more from the new video for processing the emotional upset you may have about accelerating global warming and our deteriorating environment

    Michael Dowd's Serenity Prayer for the 21st Century is critical to watch if you want to process the emotional upset you are feeling. In addition to this video, he has done others that focus on the emotional and support aspects of the global warming and ecological crisis the world now faces.

    Here are just a few of the screen captures from his new Serenity video.

     

     

     

    Additional emotional support to help you process and keep accelerating global warming and our deteriorating environment in perspective

    Click the links in the order given for additional emotional support:

    Click here for another effective process for reducing any emotional upset about accelerating global warming and our deteriorating environment.

    Click here for some positive counterbalancing perspectives on the difficulty of the challenges we face with accelerating global warming and our deteriorating environment.

    Click here to see your deepest worries about accelerating global warming and our deteriorating environment from the largest possible evolutionary perspective.

    Click here to go to Michael Dowd's Post-Doom website.

     

  • For 12 years we have been trying to get you to understand how bad global warming is. This 7 minute video did a better job, but...

    This 7-minute video might help you to realize that we are almost out of time!

    Watch the 7-minute spellbinding video here. 

    If you want to know about the critical 1% of facts they did not cover, please

    a. Click here first and then,

    b. click here to see the remaining slivers of light this powerful video missed! Things are dark, but not quite as dark as shown in this 7-minute video.

    c. And finally, although we cannot avoid much of what is coming, there is still a small chance that some of us might survive. To see what you and your loved ones will need to do to have a legitimate chance at a longer, more comfortable life in an accelerating global warming world, click here.

    If you are not convinced it is as bad as the video implies 

    Read the 26 powerful reasons why what they are saying is 99% truehere.

  • New UN Climate Report Is Dire, But Still Hiding the Worst From The Public

    The UN issued the scariest climate report in its history. Find out what they are still not telling you, that's critical to your future!

    Unfortunately, the new report by the UN's IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) is STILL seriously underestimating climate change consequences. 

    But, before telling you what this scary report is missing, here are a few key takeaways from the new August 2021 IPCC summary report:

    UN Secretary-General António Guterres called it a "code red for humanity." The Earth's warming has accelerated. The effects will continue for centuries into the future. And time has run out to make deep cuts to emissions. 

    Further warming is "locked-in" due to the greenhouse gases humans have already released into the atmosphere. That means even if emissions are drastically cut, some changes will be "irreversible" for centuries.

    Scientists know methane pollution is at its highest level in 800,000 years because of human activities like agriculture and oil and gas production. (Methane is about 80 times more potent than carbon in the atmosphere for rapidly rising global temperatures.)

    John Kerry, the US special envoy for climate, commented on the report, "We can get to the low carbon economy we urgently need, but time is not on our side. This is the critical decade for action, and the next climate conference (COP26 in Glasgow) must be a turning point in this crisis."

    The IPCC (and renowned climate scientists like Michael Mann) have finally admitted that the IPCC's previous climate summary reports were underestimating global warming consequences and timelines. Many climate researchers have been disclosing this IPCC underestimation problem for more than a decade. (To understand why the IPCC has a long history of underestimating consequences and time frames for climate change, click here.

    The 3,000-plus-page IPPC report concludes that ice melt and sea-level rise are already accelerating. Wild weather events — from storms to heatwaves — are also expected to worsen and become more frequent.

     

     

    What's FAR More Important is What the new IPCC report is Not Telling You!

    Here is what you are not being told: 

    (We have provided plenty of documentation links because of the shocking nature of the following.)

    1. To save humanity from extinction at this late stage will require nothing less than immediate gigantic global fossil fuel use reductions and enormous painful sacrifices for everyone! Moreover, these huge global fossil fuel reductions must happen by 2025, and NOT by 2030, 2035, or 2050 as you are now being told! (Click here to read about a chain of global warming-related consequences driven by starvation-accelerating crop failures and crop yield reductions that will fuel this mass die-off.) 

    2. Much of humanity dies by mid-century if we do not reduce total global fossil fuel use by 75% by 2025! Worse yet, if we do not get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, we face total extinction beginning around 2070. 

    This correct global fossil fuel reduction target is now high because we have wasted almost 40 years of valid scientific warnings when the reductions could have been gradual and easier! (Click here to learn more about why the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction target is now 75% of all international fossil fuel use by 2025.) 

    3. We have now reached a global warming acceleration level where only a worldwide government-driven mass mobilization can save us from total extinction. Individual actions are no longer enough. 

    This mass mobilization will need to be far beyond the scope of the mass mobilization that occurred before World War II. (Part 3 of the Job One for Humanity Plan will show you how our governments can complete the required mass mobilization and meet or get close to the required 2025 global fossil fuel reductions to save us in time.) ) 

    4. The IPCC's calculations and predictions make almost no allowance for the effects of crossing any of the hundreds of climate system tipping points. When crossed, these tipping points will cause a sudden and drasticworsening of that climate system and often other interconnected climate systems.

    Without including tipping point calculations and their radical consequences included in their projections and consequence timeframes, the IPPC is planning for everything to go perfectly. These critical IPCC tipping point omissions are one of the best ways to fail to motivate the correct and necessary public urgency and action to fix this emergency. (Click here to read all about the 11 key climate and global warming tipping points.)

     

     

    5. Missing the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets means we go over the first extinction-evoking tipping point and this crossing accelerates the immutable laws of climate physics toward unthinkable climate catastrophe. Going over this first critical tipping point will also quickly trigger crossing other global warming extinction-accelerating tipping points faster and faster. (Click here to read about the four critical extinction-evoking tipping points.)

    6. Once we increase the average global temperature by three to four degrees Celcius, adapting to global warming consequences is no longer possible! 

    7. Accelerating global warming is by far the single greatest disrupter, threat multiplier, and global threat amplifier of the 21st century. We are no longer only having 100-year extreme weather events every few years, we will now have 1,000 and 10,000-year extreme weather events happening every decade or sooner.

    8. At its peril, the majority of humanity still does not understand that we are not merely facing changes in climate (climate change,) we are now facing an imminent global warming-fueled extinction emergency. It is finally time to call this emergency what it actually is --- before it is too late.  

    9. Depending on your current location, there should be no need to panic! You should still have enough time to prepare for and adapt to the myriad of unavoidable global warming and related primary and secondary consequences.  

     

     

    What YOU Can Do Today to Help Resolve the Global Warming Emergency!

    Once someone realizes global warming and climate change are a lot worse than our "trusted" authorities are telling us, their usual reaction is first anger and then wanting to do something to help fix the problem. Many people also realize that when the imminent extinction of humanity is accurate, we all have an ethical and moral imperative to continue to act until the emergency is resolved! 

     

     

    Here are the things to do ASAP to help save the future:

    1. Actively share this disruptive post with your friends. Get it into all of the appropriate Facebook and Reddit groups and other Internet areas wherever it should be discussed. Especially get this post to generations X, Y, and Z. They have the most to lose the fastest! If generations X, Y, and Z do not get super-busy demanding a future they can survive, it is unlikely that our politicians will act in time! 

    If generation X, Y, and Z climate change organizations like Greta Thunberg's Fridays for the Future and the Sunrise Movement do embrace the deeper truths of this extinction emergency and seriously upgrade their strategies to demand and get immediate action from our politicians, we are in for a harrowing, destructive, costly, and deadly future.  

    2. Sign the online emergency petition to our politicians here.

    3. Email or mail this post to the following list of critical influencers:

    a. your local and national politicians. (In the US this especially means, Presiden Biden, John Kerry [his Climate Czar,] Bernie Sanders, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and Gavin Newsome [Governor of California.] Their fossil fuel reduction targets and plans are based on the current grossly underestimated IPPC projections.

    This IPCC underestimation issue also means the Green New Deal and the other US's national climate change programs will be far, far too little, and far, far too late! These inadequate existing climate programs will ensure much of humanity dying off by mid-century and total human extinction beginning about 2070.

    It is time to pull our politicians' heads out of the IPPC's underestimated prediction quicksand. It is time they start dealing with the actual global warming extinction emergency with the painful facts and urgency it demands!

    b. Bill Gates, Elon Musk, Warren Buffet, Jeff Bezos, Richard Branson, Make Zuckerberg, Larry Ellison, Larry Page, Bernard Arnault, Sergey Brin, Francoise Bettencourt Meyers, Steve Ballmer, Mukesh Ambani, Amancio Ortega, Zhong Shanshan, Jim Walton, Alice Walton, Rob Walton, Phil Knight and the other 100 wealthiest people in the world. If they do not start dealing with this emergency with the appropriate facts and urgency, they too will lose everything in an unsurvivable future.

    Do not hesitate to call these individuals out publically for doing little to nothing effective to use their vast political influence to resolve the global warming extinction emergency. (To see the horrible eventual fate of even these ultra-wealthy individuals in our dying world if they do not act, click here. To see what they must get our politicians to do, click here. The list of the rest of the world's 100 wealthiest individuals is available online.)

    c. the CEO's of the 500 wealthiest corporations in the world. The accelerating disruptions and uncertainties of the escalating global warming emergency will make it impossible to do business as usual and bring most big corporations to eventual bankruptcy or dissolution. Do not hesitate to call out these CEOs out publically for doing little to nothing that is effective in using their political influence to resolve the global warming emergency.

    (To see the horrible eventual fate of these CEOs in our dying world if they do not act, click here. To see what these CEOs must push our politicians to do, click here. The list of the 500 wealthiest corporations is available online.)

    d. the world's biggest entertainment and sports celebrities. Although many are very wealthy, they are not as rich as the world's wealthiest individuals listed above. Still, they do have a disproportionate amount of influence on the public and on many politicians. These celebrities, like the rest of us, will share the same fate in a dying world. Please help them to understand this horrible fate described here.

    Do not hesitate to call them out publically for their inaction or ineffective action on the global warming emergency and their counter-productive, over-consumption, lavish fossil-fueled lifestyles during our extinction emergency. (To see what our politicians motivated by activist celebrities must do, click here.)

    e. your national and international environmental groups who, on the whole, also have been blindly accepting the IPCC's underestimated projections and fossil fuel reduction level recommendations for decades. They have been unknowingly supporting climate solutions that will soon render humanity and much of the biological life on Earth extinct.

    f. your local and national investigative news reporters. The future of humanity is being held hostage by the general population not being told the extinction-level truths about the accelerating global warming emergency.

    4. Start the Job One for Humanity Plan for actions you can do today that deal with the read climate change deadlines and tipping points. Getting into action fast will do a lot to lessen the normal anger and sadness so many feel when they finally realize what has been hidden from them. Click here to get started.

    Please Do not Blindly Believe US! 

    Read the Following Detailed Documentation on What You Are Still Not Being Told by the IPCC

    Please don't take our word that the IPCC is still grossly underestimating or hiding critical information from you because they do not want to cause a panic or overly upset their fossil fuel-producing national sponsors. Check out the science and analysis for yourself:

    If you are new to the climate change emergency and do not understand the basics of how and why global warming is taking place, click here. 

    Click here to understand the long-term history of the IPCC underestimating the consequences, timeframes, and the needed global fossil fuel reduction targets by as much as 20-40% or more.

    Click here to see the REAL 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets that our international politicians must now enforce!

    To see all of the critical mass mobilization actions our politicians must take immediately to save humanity from total extinction, click here.

    Click here to see the eleven main climate change tipping points and what their exclusion from the recent IPCC calculations means for your future.

    Click here to see a detailed "big picture" meltdown of our many global warming consequences and tipping points. Their interactions will produce starvation and extinction for much of humanity by mid-century and total extinction beginning as soon as 2070.

    Click here to see the four extinction-evoking tipping points and how close we are to them already. 

    Click here to see why new technologies or carbon capture will never be able to save us in time from the extinction of much of humanity.

    Click here to see what you can do today to stay calm, carry on, and help slow the rapidly accelerating global warming-triggered extinction process.

    Click here to see the many surprising benefits of a beautiful, sustainable, and just new world that we can create --- if we get the global warming extinction emergency under control.

    For the many steep challenges of getting the public active in demanding their politicians act before they and their children are dead, click here.

    You can see the complete and once again underestimated newest UN IPCC climate change report here.

     

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