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Spirit, Evolution & Eco-Community

Universe Spirit Blogs

  • 21 Conservative Images of What Global Warming Sea Level Will Look like in 2100

    Check out the 21 images of what global warming will do to cities around the world in the following link. And, it's not even the real "don't scare the public and markets" sea level rise estimates found in the book Climageddon at Amazon. For all of the 21 images please see https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/disturbing-before-and-after-images-sho...

     

     

  • How to really know If we are making any progress in reducing global warming.

    Would you be surprised to know that we are not making any real progress on reducing the worst current and future consequences of global warming? Here is the proof.

    kc-monthly-0300_hirez.png

    Atmospheric carbon from fossil fuel burning is the main human-caused factor in the escalating global warming emergency we are experiencing now. The current level of carbon in our atmosphere is tracked using what is called the Keeling curve. The Keeling curve measures atmospheric carbon in parts per million (ppm).

    Each year, many measurements are taken at Mauna Loa, Hawaii to determine the parts per million (ppm) of carbon in the atmosphere at that time. At the beginning of the Industrial Revolution around 1880, before we began fossil fuel burning, our atmospheric carbon level was at about 270 ppm. 

    Here is the current Keeling curve graph. Today we are at about carbon 408 ppm.

    kc-monthly-0300_hirez.png
    Keeling Curve Monthly CO2 graph, via Show.earth

    As you can see, we are not reducing global warming causing carbon in spite of all that you have heard in the media about what both individuals  and nations are doing. This exponentially rising carbon is also very bad for limiting the 20 worst consequences of global warming. 

    If the total carbon ppm level in our atmosphere is not going down or carbon’s average ppm level per year is not falling or at the very minimum slowing its steep level of increase (as shown above,)  we are in fact not making any significant progress on resolving the escalating global warming emergency. 

    As you can instantly see in the above graph, not only are we not making any global warming reduction progress, worse yet, we are going in the wrong direction faster and faster!

    This carbon ppm global warming measurement system is so accurate that it bears repeating. No matter what you are being told about global warming reduction progress by the media, governments or climate “authorities,” total atmospheric carbon as well as carbon’s average ppm level increase per year is the most dependable measurement of our real progress and the greatest predictor for current and future global warming consequences.
    In Summary
    There are two key ways you will always be able to tell if we are making honest progress in reducing global warming:

    When you start seeing the above Keeling graph levels dropping from the current carbon ppm level (approximately 408 ppm) back to a reasonably safe carbon 350-325 ppm. 

    When we see our average annual increase in carbon ppm levels (currently at about 3+ ppm per year) begin dropping significantly.

    As you can see we are in deep trouble and we are not making progress In reducing global warming in spite of 30+ years of warnings about what is coming. 

    If you are interested in what you can do to effectively help reduce global warming, click here and begin the actions steps of the new Job One Plan.

    This document provided by the research and editorial team at Job One for Humanity. It is derived from the new book Climageddon, The Global Warming Emergency and How to Survive it.

    Please share this blog post on other global warming and climate change related blogs and anywhere else appropriate on the Internet.
     

  • How to really know If we are making any progress in reducing global warming.

    Would you be surprised to know that we are not making any real progress on reducing the worst current and future consequences of global warming? Here is the proof.

    kc-monthly-0300_hirez.png

    Atmospheric carbon from fossil fuel burning is the main human-caused factor in the escalating global warming emergency we are experiencing now. The current level of carbon in our atmosphere is tracked using what is called the Keeling curve. The Keeling curve measures atmospheric carbon in parts per million (ppm).

    Each year, many measurements are taken at Mauna Loa, Hawaii to determine the parts per million (ppm) of carbon in the atmosphere at that time. At the beginning of the Industrial Revolution around 1880, before we began fossil fuel burning, our atmospheric carbon level was at about 270 ppm. 

    Here is the current Keeling curve graph. Today we are at about carbon 408 ppm.

    kc-monthly-0300_hirez.png
    Keeling Curve Monthly CO2 graph, via Show.earth

    As you can see, we are not reducing global warming causing carbon in spite of all that you have heard in the media about what both individuals  and nations are doing. This exponentially rising carbon is also very bad for limiting the 20 worst consequences of global warming. 

    If the total carbon ppm level in our atmosphere is not going down or carbon’s average ppm level per year is not falling or at the very minimum slowing its steep level of increase (as shown above,)  we are in fact not making any significant progress on resolving the escalating global warming emergency. 

    As you can instantly see in the above graph, not only are we not making any global warming reduction progress, worse yet, we are going in the wrong direction faster and faster!

    This carbon ppm global warming measurement system is so accurate that it bears repeating. No matter what you are being told about global warming reduction progress by the media, governments or climate “authorities,” total atmospheric carbon as well as carbon’s average ppm level increase per year is the most dependable measurement of our real progress and the greatest predictor for current and future global warming consequences.
    In Summary
    There are two key ways you will always be able to tell if we are making honest progress in reducing global warming:

    When you start seeing the above Keeling graph levels dropping from the current carbon ppm level (approximately 408 ppm) back to a reasonably safe carbon 350-325 ppm. 

    When we see our average annual increase in carbon ppm levels (currently at about 3+ ppm per year) begin dropping significantly.

    As you can see we are in deep trouble and we are not making progress In reducing global warming in spite of 30+ years of warnings about what is coming. 

    If you are interested in what you can do to effectively help reduce global warming, click here and begin the actions steps of the new Job One Plan.

    This document provided by the research and editorial team at Job One for Humanity. It is derived from the new book Climageddon, The Global Warming Emergency and How to Survive it.

    Please share this blog post on other global warming and climate change related blogs and anywhere else appropriate on the Internet.
     

  • The Manhattan Institute's Joke of a Wall Street Journal Op-Ed...

     

    A new report by Oren Cass of the Manhattan Institute for Policy Research dismisses predictions of the impacts of a warming world with a simple solution: When climate change turns up the heat, people just need to turn on their air conditioners...

    rom his analysis, “Overheated: How Flawed Analyses Overestimate the Costs of Climate Change,” the Wall Street Journal somehow arrived at the following headline for Cass’s recent op-ed: Doomsday Climate Scenarios Are a Joke.

    It should be noted that Cass is a Harvard-trained lawyer, with a background in political science, not climate science. And his employer, the Manhattan Institute, for years has promoted climate science contrarianism while pushing fossil fuel development. No surprise that the organization is bankrolled by several conservative foundations, including the billionaire Mercer family, major Trump donors and funders of climate denial. 

    Cass’s Wall Street Journal op-ed, which begins with “Debates over climate change are filled with dire estimates of its cost,” was quickly trumpeted by the also Mercer-backed right-wing publication Breitbart News.

    What Cass is peddling with his “just get air conditioners” argument is known as adaptation. The purveyors of this approach admit the climate is changing but say that it is nothing to worry about because humans will just adapt. This argument is much more popular with the extremely wealthy than with the rest of the world’s population.

    Read the rest of the story HERE

    at https://www.desmogblog.com/

    by By Justin Mikulka • Wednesday, March 14, 2018 - 03:56  

    Sign up for the Global Warming Blog for free by clicking here. In your email you will receive critical news, research and the warning signs for the next global warming disaster.

    Click here to learn how global warming has become irreversible and what you can do to protect your family and assets.

    Click here to learn about the most disruptive new book on global warming facts and research. Climageddon, The Global warming Emergency and How to Survive it.

    To share this blog post: Go to the original shorter version of this post. Look to lower right for the large green Share button.

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  • None like it hot - warmer winters worry Arctic scientists...

    A sign in Longyearbyen warning people of polar bears in the Svalbard Archipelago, halfway between Norway and the North Pole, February 25, 2018. THOMSON REUTERS FOUNDATION/Thin Lei Win

     

    The Arctic is warming faster than the rest of the planet - and Longyearbyen is seeing it firsthand...

    LONGYEARBYEN, Norway, March 15 (Thomson Reuters Foundation) - On a damp winter's afternoon in February, a bus driver taking visitors to the local airport grumbled that this small Arctic town, halfway between mainland Norway and the North Pole, was the warmest place in the country.

    His comment followed two days of rain and above-freezing temperatures in Longyearbyen, a town of about 2,000 people, even as the mainland was struggling with frigid weather and snow.

    Relatively warm weather inside the Arctic Circle ought to be highly unusual for February; increasingly, that is not the case.

    The Arctic is warming faster than the rest of the planet, something Norway's Svalbard archipelago - where Longyearbyen is located - is seeing firsthand, said Kim Holmen, international director of the state-funded Norwegian Polar Institute (NPI).

    "It has been 86 consecutive months where every month has been above normal (temperatures)," he told the Thomson Reuters Foundation in his office at the University Centre in Svalbard (UNIS).

    "This type of weather was highly unusual," the scientist said, gesturing at the rain lashing his office window.

    "Now we have it every winter and several times a winter."

    Read rest of story HERE

    at Thomson Reuters Foundation http://news.trust.org/

    By Thin Lei Win

    (Reporting By Thin Lei Win @thinink, Editing by Robert Carmichael. Please credit the Thomson Reuters Foundation, the charitable arm of Thomson Reuters, that covers humanitarian news, women's rights, corruption and climate change. Visit www.trust.org)

     

     

    Sign up for the Global Warming Blog for free by clicking here. In your email you will receive critical news, research and the warning signs for the next global warming disaster.

    Click here to learn how global warming has become irreversible and what you can do to protect your family and assets.

    Click here to learn about the most disruptive new book on global warming facts and research. Climageddon, The Global warming Emergency and How to Survive it.

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  • 5 reasons the Arctic’s extremely warm winter should alarm you...

    This polar bear is alarmed. LightRocket via Getty Images

     

    You can see dramatic climate change impacts even in the dead of Arctic winter...

    Cape Morris Jesup in Greenland is just about the northernmost piece of land on planet Earth. It’s located just 400 miles south of the North Pole, on Greenland’s craggy, desolate north shore. This is a place so far north that the sun doesn’t rise for most of the winter months.

    In February, in the dark of winter, Cape Morris Jesup’s weather station recorded nearly 60 hours of temperatures above freezing — a new record. On February 24, the temperature reached a high of 43 degrees Fahrenheit.

    Read the rest of the story HERE at https://www.vox.com/

    By Brian Resnick

    brian@vox.com

    Updated Mar 16, 2018, 12:53pm EDT

    Sign up for the Global Warming Blog for free by clicking here. In your email you will receive critical news, research and the warning signs for the next global warming disaster.

    Click here to learn how global warming has become irreversible and what you can do to protect your family and assets.

    Click here to learn about the most disruptive new book on global warming facts and research. Climageddon, The Global warming Emergency and How to Survive it.

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  • Avalanches can be deadly. Climate change has made them more frequent...

    A sign on a mountain road in the Ladakh region of the Himalayas in India reads: “Because of global warming please beware avalanche can come anytime anywhere.”Allison Joyce/Getty Images

     

    A new study shows that rising temperatures in the Himalayas have led to more avalanches...

    The tallest mountain range in the world — the Himalayas — are part of a region known as the “Third Pole.” These mountains, alongside the Tibetan Plateau and the Hindu Kush Mountains, are home to the largest permanent ice mass outside of the Arctic and Antarctic.

    But unlike the far north and far south, the Third Pole, spanning 5 million square kilometers, has direct impacts on a huge slice of humanity. More than 40 million people live in the Himalayas, and nearly 3 billion people live in the river basins that flow from the ice in the mountains.

    Now that ice is melting faster, with sometimes deadly consequences. In 2014, 16 sherpas were killed in an avalanche on Mount Everest. Another 22 people were killed in avalanches after an earthquake struck the region in 2015.

    We’re seeing deadly avalanches in other parts of the world as well. Already, the National Avalanche Center has counted 16 deaths due to avalanches in the United States this year. Four skiers were killed in an avalanche earlier this month in the French Alps. And a volcanic eruption triggered an avalanche that killed a skier in Japan in January.

    A man in Kathmandu, Nepal, pays tribute during a memorial organized by the Nepal Mountaineering Association for the 16 sherpas who lost their lives in the Mount Everest avalanche on April 18, 2014.Omar Havana/Getty Images

    Scientists anticipate that the likelihood of avalanches will increase as average temperatures go up and have previously found that avalanches in North America and Europe are sensitive to rising temperatures.

    But until recently, the Himalayas were a conspicuous blind spot for avalanche activity, according to Juan Antonio Ballesteros-Cánovas, a researcher at the Institute for Environmental Sciences at the University of Geneva in Switzerland.

    “We were looking to see if there were changes in the occurrences of extreme events,” he said. “When we started to have a look, we saw that there was almost no data in this part of the world.”

    In a peer reviewed report this week, Ballesteros-Cánovas filled in some of these blanks and found that warming temperatures are increasing the risk of avalanches in the Himalayas as well.

    These monstrous cascades of snow and ice are yet another a harbinger of the slower, more impactful threat from climate change, and a vivid example of how subtle alterations in the global climate can lead to sudden, severe impacts.

    High elevations are warming faster than the rest of the world

    Some of the biggest shifts stemming from climate change are occurring in what scientists call the cryosphere, the regions of the world where water freezes seasonally, like the ice caps or mountain peaks. The Arctic, for example, is losing ice at its fastest rate in 1,500 years.

    Mountains are also warming, at a rate twice as fast as the global average. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change warns that this will lead to more avalanches as the planet warms and is planning a report, due out in 2019, focusing specifically on climate change impacts mountain communities.

    To start figuring out how climate change is affecting the slopes, Ballesteros-Cánovas and his team constructed a record of past avalanches in the Western Himalayas by examining tree ring records. Torrents of snow can knock over, bruise, or injure trees in ways that show up on tree rings. Comparing these anomalies among the tree population allowed the scientists to tease out where and when avalanches occurred.

    A map of the sampled region in the Western Himalayas showing potential avalanche slopes.PNAS

    They then fed their measurements into a computer model and constructed a record of avalanches in the region going back 150 years. The model showed that the likelihood and the number of avalanches has increased:

    Avalanches are increasing as the climate changes

    The likelihood of avalanches has increased in the Western Himalayas. Red dots indicate years with avalanche activity, and blue dots indicate years without avalanches.

    PNAS

    The dynamic is simple: Warmer temperatures in the winter and the early spring lead to wetter snow, which has less friction, so it slides downhill more readily.

    These results counter the common prediction that rising average temperatures will reduce avalanches because they reduce snowfall. Snowfall is in fact declining over the long term, but “in high mountain regions, the snowfall is not the limiting factor for snow avalanches,” Ballesteros-Cánovas said. “What can be the limiting factor is the temperature.”

    Rising temperatures are pushing the number of avalanches up. But the frequency won’t continue rising forever — after a certain threshold, the number of avalanches is limited by the speed with which snowpack accumulates. And with snowfall declining, accumulation will be slower, eventually capping the number of avalanches possible.

    So look on the bright side: Climate change-driven avalanches will only continue until climate change dries up all the snow. It’s a problem that solves itself. Until the next one.

    By Umair Irfan

    Mar 15, 2018, 2:20pm EDT

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    Click here to learn how global warming has become irreversible and what you can do to protect your family and assets.

    Click here to learn about the most disruptive new book on global warming facts and research. Climageddon, The Global warming Emergency and How to Survive it.

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  • There’s Human Poop in Glacial Water...

                      And global warming could bring more of it to the surface!

    Think that ice-blue water pouring out of a beautiful mountain glacier is safe to drink untreated? Think again. It could be full of decades-old poop from mountaineers . 

    Poop, and how you avoid drinking water contaminated by it, have been in the news recently. First, Slate published a woefully misinformed article, incorrectly suggesting that readers don’t need to filter their water in the backcountry. I pointed out the errors in it. After that, Andrew Skurka revealed to the world that drinking potentially poop-filled water is one of his many hobbies, then offered tips on how to do it best. (Eww.)

    Those stories prompted one of our readers to send me a study conducted on Denali. The research suggests fecal bacteria can survive inside glaciers for much longer than previously thought, flowing downhill with the ice, and potentially infecting water sources tens of miles away. 

    You see, until recently, it was common practice for climbers on Alaska’s tallest mountain to simply hurl their poop into deep crevasses, where it was assumed freeze-thaw cycles and the grinding action of the flowing ice would make it disappear. Climbing that mountain along its most popular West Buttress route is a two-week endeavor, and it’s estimated that, since 1970, 34,000 climbers have deposited 66 metric tons of poop in the mountain’s Kahlitna Glacier.

    Turns out that being buried in ice actually preserves poop and fecal bacteria. D’oh.

    “Everything we’ve got points toward the poop and bacteria lasting indefinitely when it’s buried in the ice,” explains Michael Loso, a National Park Service geologist who helped put together Glacial Transport of Human Waste and Survival of Fecal Bacteria. Rather than destroying the poop, the chilly but relatively constant temperatures of deep-glacier ice actually help shield poop and its bacteria from the forces that would destroy it quickly at the surface—UV radiation, wind, and rain. And being deposited in such large volumes exacerbates bacteria growth in the fertile feeding ground. 

    Loso’s team tracked poop moving downstream in the glacial flow, calculating that historic deposits left high on the mountain should emerge on the surface in about 70 years, after traveling 17 miles in the flowing ice. In fact, tests of streams flowing from the glacial melt already show trace amounts of fecal bacteria that likely came from human climbers far up the mountain. Loso is quick to point out that while bacteria like E. coli and fecal enterococci are now showing up in local water sources, they’re only doing so in trace amounts that don’t pose a risk to human health—or at least not yet. The study also points out that this may change when large deposits of poop start reaching the surface decades from now. Because climate change is speeding the pace at which glaciers are melting, the study found it could speed up the process by which old mountaineer poop emerges from glaciers. 

    Curious if this fate awaited other glaciated mountains, I called Loso to find out. He explained that Denali’s West Buttress route is relatively unique, in that climbers spend most of their time in its accumulation zone, where snowfall is adding to the glacier’s mass. As more snow falls, more glacier forms. If there’s poop in that snow, or in the crevasses, it becomes part of the glacier, and is preserved. According to Loso, most other popular glacial mountains see climbers deposit their waste in ablation zones, where the glaciers are losing mass. There, the poop is simply washed away or destroyed by extreme mountain weather. Although the seasonal surface pollution created by all that poop does make melted snow on popular routes unsafe for climbers to drink untreated.

    I explained the premise of Slate’s article to Loso, and asked him if his work could be extrapolated to show that human poop could be infecting wilderness water sources elsewhere. “Absolutely,” he says, going on to explain that any time poop is deposited inside snow or ice so that it stays there beyond the seasonal freeze-thaw cycle, “it can persist for a long time.” I asked him if there was a limit for how long poop could remain infectious while preserved in ice, and he explained that if there was one, he hasn’t yet found it.

    So the bottom line is that just because a water source was previously frozen does not mean it is inherently safe to drink. In fact, Loso has found snow and ice are capable of preserving poop and fecal bacteria “indefinitely,” which means that you need to consider the provenance of your melt water carefully. Has a human ever pooped on that mountain? If the answer could be yes, then you should probably filter your damn drinking water.

    Sign up for the Global Warming Blog for free by clicking here. In your email you will receive critical news, research and the warning signs for the next global warming disaster.

    Click here to learn how global warming has become irreversible and what you can do to protect your family and assets.

    Click here to learn about the most disruptive new book on global warming facts and research. Climageddon, The Global warming Emergency and How to Survive it.

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  • It's 50 years since climate change was first seen. Now time is running out...

    ‘Scientists attribute 15-40% of the epic rain of Hurricane Harvey to climate change.’ Photograph: Marcus Yam/LA Times via Getty Images

     

    Making up for years of delay and denial will not be easy, nor will it be cheap. Climate polluters must be held accountable...

    Fifty years ago, the Stanford Research Institute (SRI) delivered a report titled Sources, Abundance, and Fate of Gaseous Atmospheric Polluters to the American Petroleum Institute (API), a trade association for the fossil fuel industry.

    The report, unearthed by researchers at the Center for International Environmental Law, is one of the earliest attempts by the industry to grapple with the impacts of rising CO2 levels, which Stanford’s researchers warned if left unabated “could bring about climatic changes” like temperature increases, melting of ice caps and sea level rise.

    The year was 1968, and the term “global warming” would not appear in a peer-reviewed academic journal until 1975. Famed Nasa scientist James Hansen would not testify before Congress that “global warming has begun” for another 20 years. And the US would not enter into – only to later pull out of – the Paris climate accord for nearly half a century.

    The anniversary of SRI’s report to the API on climate change represents not just a damning piece of evidence of what the fossil fuel industry knew and when, but a signal of all that we have lost over the decades of policy inaction and interference. It should also serve as a potent motivator in the fight for climate accountability and justice.

    At the time, CO2 levels in the atmosphere stood about 323ppm. The planet was warming but was still well within the historical norm. Sea levels had risen by about 4in compared with 1880 levels. The report, however, cautioned that “man is now engaged in a vast geophysical experiment with his environment, the Earth” and that “significant temperature changes are almost certain to occur by the year 2000”.

    Those predictions proved to be correct: by the turn of the century, the concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere had risen to 369ppm, causing a temperature increase of nearly half a degree over pre-industrial averages. Today, virtually all climate scientists agree there is little or no chance the world can stay within the goal of 1.5C, the limit of what scientists believe to be safe.

    With each decade of delay and denial the impacts and costs of climate change have continued to mount...

    Over the next 20 years, the scientific community and policymakers around the world began to reach a consensus on the threat posed by rising CO2 levels. Scientists at least one major oil company, Exxon, did their own climate modeling, which agreed with the scientific consensus. During this period a budding movement to cut emissions began.

    To counter and slow down that effort to address climate change, the fossil fuel industry began its long and powerful strategy of climate denial and obstructionism. Even though they knew the science, they also realized that attempts to control emissions could seriously damage their bottom lines.

    In 1998, as the first global attempt to rein in climate pollution, the Kyoto protocol, was headed to the Senate for ratification, API circulated what has come to be known as the Victory Memo, a detailed road map to undermining science and promoting denial of climate change. According to API’s top strategists: “Victory will be achieved when: those promoting the Kyoto treaty on the basis of extant science appear to be out of touch with reality.”

    The memo’s end goal was clear: create doubt about science where none existed, deceive the media and Congress about the risks of climate change, and block the momentum that was building to address rising emissions through the Kyoto protocol, a precursor to the Paris accord. ExxonMobil alone would go on to spend upwards of $30m on ads, front groups, and pseudoscience intended to carry out the plan. That’s in addition to the cash that flooded the coffers of climate deniers in Congress who are rewarded amply for willful ignorance.

    API’s strategic deception campaign was a success, which is why we now stand at the brink of the highest global temperature considered safe. Just what it will mean to cross that line remains an ongoing question for atmospheric scientists, but we’ve already started to get a glimpse and it doesn’t look good.

    The damage is all around us, from hurricanes on steroids – scientists attribute 15-40% (8in-24in) of the epic rain of Hurricane Harvey to climate change – to California’s deadly wildfires which were set up by five years of drought, followed by record snowfall, then record heat that turned huge areas of the state into tinderboxes. In 2017 there were 16 separate billion-dollar disasters in the US, resulting in a total of $306bn of damages, nearly $100bn more than the second highest year 2005 (Katrina). While technically climate change did not “cause” these disasters, most of the carnage was aggravated in some way by climate change and the fossil fuel emissions that cause it in the first place.

    Other impacts are more long-term and irreparable. Anyone born after 1985 has never experienced a month with average temperatures that fall below the historical norm and, without action, probably never will. Mass coral bleaching events due to warming waters and ocean acidification have rendered large swaths of some of the ocean’s most diverse ecosystems lifeless. The vanishing Arctic ice cap appears already to be affecting global weather patterns, and the loss of ice in Antarctica may have reached a tipping point that many now view as irreversible, a development that will require tough and costly decisions for coastal cities.

    We can’t turn back the clock, but we can turn off the fossil fuel firehose that’s been pumping CO2 into our atmosphere and demand that those who left it running help foot the bill for the cleanup. Already we’ve seen cities like New York, San Francisco, and other coastal cities file lawsuits against climate polluters, seeking to recover costs associated with planning for and adapting to a warming world. With massive costs facing hundreds more cities and no remedy in sight, more litigation will follow.

    Making up for 50 years of delay and denial will not be easy, nor will it be cheap. But taxpayers should not have to shoulder the burden alone. The API and its climate polluters knowingly and deliberately caused this mess. They must help pay to clean it up.

    Thu 15 Mar 2018 10.47 EDT

    source: https://www.theguardian.com/us

    original story HERE

    Sign up for the Global Warming Blog for free by clicking here. In your email you will receive critical news, research and the warning signs for the next global warming disaster.

    Click here to learn how global warming has become irreversible and what you can do to protect your family and assets.

    Click here to learn about the most disruptive new book on global warming facts and research. Climageddon, The Global warming Emergency and How to Survive it.

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  • Global Warming Is Now Irreversible...

    July 3, 2017

     

    Today's Irreversible Global Warming...

    You have seen the news in 2017 about global warming-aggravated weather, like hurricanes Harvey, Irma, and Marie, the horrible wildfires and mud slides in northern California and along the U.S. west coast, the super storms in India and the rain bombs all over the world where weeks or months worth of rain falls in a few hours or a few days. 

    Watch: STEPHEN HAWKING SAYS EARTH WILL BECOME AS HOT AS VENUS...

    Over the years, our organization has repeatedly provided credible scientific data which proves that until we reverse our suicidal fossil fuel burning habits, the 20 worst global warming-aggravated climate consequences will continue to increase in frequency, severity, and scale. We are now compelled to inform you of a new reality about global warming that you will hear first from our organization and a few other courageous global warming educational organizations. 

    (If you do not understand what global warming is or how greenhouse gasses cause it, please click here for a short illustrated explanation.)

    In our new book Climageddon, it was stated that if we were very, very lucky, global warming may not become irreversible. But we now know differently, due to these continually accumulating or increasing factors:

    1. new climate research,
    2. gross miscalculations by our global warming authorities,
    3. the continued increase in average global warming temperature,
    4. the exponential increases in total fossil fuel carbon particles in our atmosphere since the 1950s,
    5. the rise in new releases of methane into the atmosphere from fracking, melting permafrost and leaking natural gas lines. (For increasing global warming methane is about 86 times more powerful as a greenhouse gas than carbon.) 
    6. the recent and projected future crossing of multiple bellwether global warming tipping points,
    7. the soon to be crossed critical trigger levels of greenhouse gasses,
    8. the projected length of time it will take to technologically move from global fossil fuel energy generation and use and to scale up green energy generation and use to replace it. This is estimated to take at least 30-50 more years to acomplish, but only if there was a complete global commitment and mass mobilization to do this starting immediately!

    Because of the above and other factors discussed below global warming has in fact already entered a dangerous state of irreversibility that will last for hundreds to thousands of years. Please also keep in mind that irreversible global warming does not mean everything is hopeless and there is nothing we can do to ensure a better future.

    As you continue reading you will learn more about both what irreversible global warming is and means to your future. At the bottom of this page, we will provide a link to detailed information on how you can protect your family, assets, business and nation from the even greater global warming catastrophes that will be soon arriving. First we are obligated to put the horrible news that we have already entered a state of irreversible global warming into a more appropriate context to help you understand it and prepare to react and respond to it.

    A positive perspective and context is necessary for dealing with the following bad news

    Even though global warming has now reached irreversibility, we still have a significant amount of time left (about 10 years) to make emergency preparations, adapt where possible, and possibly migrate to save most of humanity and our civilization. We still have lots of time to live meaningful and enjoyable lives if we are knowledgeable about what is coming.

    In about 10 to 15 years, the escalating 20 major consequences of global warming, the accumulating mass migrations of climagees (climate migrants), and the global warming aggravated economic, political, and societal effects will have increasingly severe and destabilizing impacts in almost all areas of the world. Most importantly, if we are smart and move quickly, we can also still reduce or slow some of the worst of the 20 major coming consequences to reduce global warming aggravated or caused suffering, financial losses, and death.

    During this 10 to 15 year window to prepare, adapt, or migrate, we will still have control of a good portion of our lives, far longer than those individuals who deny, ignore, or are unaware of the new reality that global warming has become irreversible and a nearly endless chain of unavoidable catastrophes is coming far sooner than we are being told. You are now ready to learn about exactly what irreversible global warming is and means as well as how it will adversely affect your future, family, and finances, and what you can still do about it.

    What is irreversible global warming and what does it mean for your future

    Irreversible global warming describes the process of the earth’s average global temperature continually increasing due to the increase in heat created by greenhouse gasses.  It is a distinct new climate state created by the combination of:

    1. increasing average global temperatures,
    2. crossed global warming tipping points,
    3. the many global warming caused consequences interacting amount themselves and,
    4. multiple climate system and subsystem self-reinforcing positive feedback loops.

    These factors collectively cause the global climate to change until it reaches a new, higher temperature that is irreversible in time scales far, far longer than the human lifespan. In fact, once global warming becomes irreversible, it is very difficult to reverse in part because it takes so long (centuries at the least) to get carbon particles out of the atmosphere. 

    The initial temperature range for triggering the beginning of irreversible global warming varies between 2.2° to 4° Celsius (4°-7.2° Fahrenheit) which unfortunately, is where we are at now when you add in and compensate for all other already committed and “baked in” temperature increasing factors.

    Committed global warming simply means that we are already unavoidably committed to reach a certain temperature level in the near future (one or more decades) because of what is happened in the past or is happening now. Committed or "baked in" global warming occurs due to complex climate processes, including numerous climate system and subsystem momentums and inertias which are fully described in the new Climageddon book.

    (If you are not sure of what a positive feedback loop mentioned above is and why it will be so bad for your climate future, please take the time to explore this link.)

    Measuring the fossil fuel burning carbon pollution (Co2) of our atmosphere to accurately track global warming reduction progress

    While understanding committed global warming is complex and difficult, it is quite simple to see what is happening with our global warming today or see the trend of future global warming. This is because of the unchangable laws of physics, which informs us that:

    the more carbon particles and greenhouse gasses we add to our atmosphere from burning fossil fuels, the more heat (average global temperature) will increase in the future.

    Viewing the carbon pollution level currently and previously present in the atmosphere in parts per million ({ppm} as in the illustration below,) is the most reliable way to see our current global warming reduction progress or see our most probable future global warming trends. 

    kc-monthly-0350.png

    As you can see from the graph above (and the carbon graph further below,) despite what you hear in the media, we are not making progress in reducing carbon in the atmospheric. In fact, we are in fact adding more and more carbon each year, which will result in even more global warming.

    The coming critical trigger levels of carbon, methane and other greenhouse gases

    As of Jan 2018, we have 408 ppm in our atmosphere. On the average over the last 6 decades we are adding about an increase of 3 + new carbon ppm in the atmosphere each year. If you look at the trendline on the graph above, you can clearly see we are in serious trouble!

    There are minor monthly variations in carbon ppm levels, as well cyclical weather variations due to things like El Nino or La Nina. In spite of such variations, the clearly dominant trend shown above for the last 70 years is carbon ppm rising faster and faster.

    At these current carbon levels, the stability of the bellwether West Antarctic ice sheet has already been breached and is now also irreversible. (The West Antarctic ice sheet is an excellent example of another critical global warming tipping point the world has hurdled past faster than anyone had predicted or foreseen.)

    At the current carbon level and as it rises we will continue crossing more of the 11 critical global warming tipping points within the climate’s many systems and subsystems, but now at an even faster rate. Once we cross the carbon 500 ppm level, ALL ice and ALL glaciers on Earth will go into complete meltdown.

    Crossing the carbon 500 ppm threshold has happened repeatedly in Earth's geological history. When this occurred, the sea level inevitably rose to the 70 meters (230 feet) range. At our current annual carbon ppm emission rates, we will reach this catastrophic carbon 500 ppm range by 2042.

    If we cross that final battle line by passing the atmospheric carbon level of 500 parts per million (ppm), our average global temperature will soar to 4°C (7.2 degrees Fahrenheit). At 4°C, a large portion of humanity will die of starvation (or of increased heat's other related consequences) and, governments and society will collapse in most areas of the world.

    If we cross the carbon 500 ppm battle line, it is highly probable we will quickly reach carbon 600 ppm within another 25-30 years. The carbon 600 ppm level will raise the average global temperature to 5°C (9 degrees Fahrenheit) and bring about additional massive methane releases from ocean coastal shelves and permafrost. Because methane is 86 times more potent than carbon as a greenhouse gas, this will once again rapidly spike average global temperatures and bring about the extinction of most of humanity and the end of civilization as we know it. 

    When we reach carbon 500 ppm in about another 20 years or carbon 600 ppm about 25 to 30 years after that, we will greatly accelerate the process of crossing more global warming tipping points. This will further spike average global temperature. As we reach the carbon 500 ppm and carbon 600 ppm levels, we will also cross into the later and most dangerous phases of the Climageddon Scenario with all of its related unconscionable consequences.

    Viewing the dangerous rise of human caused atmospheric carbon in parts per million (ppm) from a historical perspective

    The following graph will help illustrate what will happen to our carbon ppm levels in the future from a perspective of hundreds of thousands of years. As you can see in the last part of the graph, which has been broken out in the smaller yellow box to better illustrate the last 1,000 years, it clearly shows we have entered a whole new much higher range of increased atmospheric carbon risk and threat exposure. We have deviated from Ice Age long term cyclical carbon ppm highs of about carbon 275 ppm to over carbon 400 ppm. (Today in January 2018 we are at about carbon 408 ppm.)

    CO2_400kyr.png

    Image via Robert A. Rohdes, Wikimedia commons.(Parts per million by volume [ppmv] includes other pollutants and trace greenhouse gases, such as methane.)

    For hundreds of thousands of years, we always stayed below 275 carbon parts per million by volume (ppmv)--the range conducive for human life. But with the advent of the Industrial Revolution and fossil fuel use, average global temperatures and carbon ppm have soared to levels unseen for millions of years (about 1.5° to about 2.7° Celsius.

    This is very bad for our future and our civilization because carbon 425 to 450 ppm is roughly double the previous civilization safe highest Ice Age cyclical average point of about carbon 275 ppm for the last 400,000 years. At this 425-450 ppm level, we will be crossing more global warming tipping points at a faster and faster rate.

    How long will it take for irreversible global warming to become reversible

    At the minimum, the relative time frame for removing (sequestering) the carbon ppm particles we are currently adding to our atmosphere is centuries to thousands of years. This means that long, long after we stop polluting our atmosphere with fossil fuels, the 20 most deadly consequences of those actions will last for many, many generations.

    Even if the world was currently fully committed to focusing every resource on the global warming emergency in the greatest mobilization in human history, it would still take at least 30 to 50 years to replace our current fossil fuel energy generation infrastructure with green energy generation infrastructure. Unfortunately, we do not have any where close to the commitment needed to immediately end the use of fossil fuels.

    By 2047-2067, we will have reached the carbon 500 ppm level and all ice on earth will have begun melting. By the time all the nations of the world finally all agree to radically reduce all fossil fuel use to almost nothing, it will add at least another 30+ years to the 30-50 years process of converting to green energy generation taking us up to carbon 600 ppm level by about 2077-2097 and a temperature increase of 5° Celsius.

    Keep in mind that in our geologic past once our the average global temperature increased by 5° Celsius, the oceans warmed enough to release methane from the methane clathrate crystals found on most of the coastal ocean shelves around the world. When this methane was suddenly released, temperatures skyrocketed, resulting in a true global extinction event. Past extinction events possibly linked in this way to sudden methane clathrate releases are the Permian-Triassic extinction event and the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum. This is exactly where we are heading at full speed in a world that does not understand the real dangers of its fossil fuel addiction.

    Keep in mind that as temperature continues to rise, we will always cross more tipping points faster and faster, which will result in faster and faster increases in average global temperatures and a cascading climate meltdown, which the planet will be unable to recover from for thousands of years, if ever. (Please see the new book Climageddon for all the details on exact Climageddon Scenario meltdown.)

    The preceding overview means that it is highly likely that even if we halted all fossil fuel use in 30 to 50 years, (but more likely 80 years) various climate systems and subsystems will still continue in a positive feedback loop of ever-increasing average global temperature. Consequently, because of all of the above we are, in fact, already in a cycle of irreversible global warming with unavoidable catastrophes coming soon no matter what we do.

    All that's left is to prepare, adapt, and migrate while doing our best to slow and lessen what is coming.

    Click here to learn what you can do to protect yourself as much as possible from what is coming.

    Will escalating global warming ever end?

    In case you're wondering, to lower the world's average global temperature and carbon levels to the relatively safe levels (from carbon 270-350 ppm), one or more of the following things must happen:

    1. While we scale up green energy generation, we must radically cut fossil fuel use by 90 to 95% so there are only a few remaining minor essential medical and chemical uses for fossil fuels. Getting to net carbon neutral (no additional carbon going into the atmosphere each year) by itself will not work because of committed warming. There is so much carbon already in the atmosphere that even when we finally take this extinction level threat seriously and radically cut all global fossil fuel use, we will still be at unsafe levels.
    2. If we can't scale up green energy generation fast enough to replace fossil fuel energy generation, we will have to allow the world's economy to go into a steep recession, depression, and possible total collapse as a last resort to save humanity and the future. Fossil fuel use is directly linked to economic productivity in our existing global infrastructure. If the economy crashes, there will be much less fossil fuel use. (This is called the Garret paradox and is also covered in Climageddon.)
    3. If we do not successfully accomplish either of these two painful and costly options, the other most probable way that we will curtail our fossil for use is through a massive die-off of 70 to 90% of the human population. This will occur in part due to massive crop failures and starvation linked to soaring global warming temperatures. As billions die of starvation, fossil fuel use will drop radically in what may be “the last resort” that saves us in the end. But remember: even if this happens, it will still take centuries to thousands of years before the planet recovers from what we have done to it.

    If we have any hope of survival for ourselves and our children, there is simply no avoiding the immediate, painful, and costly process of radically reducing our fossil fuel use.

    There is no way to fix our current global warming situation for hundreds to thousands of years --- there are only ways to survive it

    At the present time, we are in the beginning stages of irreversible global warming because carbon ppm levels will continue to rise at about 3-4 ppm or more per year. This process cannot currently be stopped.

    Due in part to the amount of carbon already in the atmosphere (committed warming), carbon ppm will continue to rise at this rate for at least another 30 - 50 years (more likely 60-90 years). To better understand why we are already committed to irreversible global warming, it is important to look deeper into the term committed global warming. It means there is an already "baked-in" average global temperature increase between about 2.2° and 2.7° Celsius which the Earth has or will soon hit, and that too will not change for centuries no matter what we do.

    This is due in significant part to:

    1. the existing and rising momentum of carbon ppm already in the atmosphere
    2. the existing total amount of carbon ppm already in the atmosphere,
    3. the new carbon ppm per year that we will inevitably and invariably keep adding over the following 3-8 decades,
    4. the already existing ocean warming,
    5. the unknown crossed or soon to be crossed new global warming tipping points.

    In summary

    When the public takes into account all of the above facts concerning the causes and conditions behind the new irreversible global warming reality, particularly that we are already doomed to cross the carbon 500 ppm level which will trigger a complete loss of ALL ice and glaciers on the planet and many more global warming tipping points being crossed, critical-thinking individuals and organizations will agree that we have, in fact, already entered a new state of irreversible global warming.

    Even more unfortunately, that also condemns us to endless chains of crossing more global warming tipping points and catastrophic or extinction ha hapotential consequences growing in frequency, severity, and scale across climate, human, and ecological systems...

    How did this gross misinformation of the general public and our state of irreversible global warming happen?

    Click here for the full story.

    Want critical information on how you can protect your family, business and nation from the ongoing global warming catastrophes?

    Click here now.

    Please keep this bad news about irreversible global warming in perspective

    Because of the arrival of this new state of irreversible global warming, the processes for our extinction have accelerated. In spite of this bad news, keep in mind that if we are able to honestly face this new degree of threat and act now, we still have time to prepare, adapt, and save most of humanity and its achievements. Moreover, we can also continue to live meaningful and enjoyable lives for many years to come if we are wise and act now to prepare and plan for what is coming!

    There are also other important "benefits" as we work through this emergency. Click here to read about these surprise "benefits." This is one of the most read pages on our website.

    Yours for humanity, our children and the earth,
     
    Lawrence Wollersheim  
     
    PS: How are you protecting your family and assets from the intensifying consequences of global warming? 

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